Weather Related

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kmaherali
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Joined: Thu Mar 27, 2003 3:01 pm

Weather Related

Post by kmaherali »

The 'uninhabitable' heat of Kuwait City, where temps reach 54C and birds fall from the sky

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Severe dust storms make the heat feel worse (Picture: Yasser Al-Zayyat / AFP)

Remember the unbearable heat in the UK where record-breaking temperatures reached 40°C?

While we haven’t seen anything close to those levels in the UK yet this summer, in other parts of the world, temperatures are soaring.

Greece and Cyprus, are currently dealing with ‘hellishly hot’ weather, with the mercury regularly skyrocketing past the point of comfort.

In Greece, the extreme heat has seen tourist attractions and schools shut down after reaching 43°C. Like last year, record-breaking temperatures have also seen deadly wildfires break out.

In Cyprus, the government shared warnings due to the scorching weather, issuing fines for anyone lighting fires outside.

While climes like this are unusual for the Mediterranean islands, in other parts of the world, year-round sun is a regular feature.

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Sandstorms are common during the hotter months (Picture: Yasser Al-Zayyat / AFP)

In one country in particular, there’s a city so hot that birds can be seen falling dead from the sky, and there’s even air conditioning outside in the streets.

Kuwait City in the Middle East is considered the hottest city on earth, where the forecast is typically over 50°C.

It’s so sizzling that locals have described the heat as ‘uninhabitable’ in the summer.

What’s the weather like in Kuwait City?

It start to heat up in Kuwait in May, where it then continues to spike throughout the summer months.

Kuwait City itself is a concrete metropolis, and as such, retains the heat. The city, which is known its for huge oil reserves, also sees low rainfall which make matters worse.

The highest temperature recorded by Kuwait’s Mitribah weather station, which about 90 minutes outside of Kuwait City, is a staggering 54°C.

The lack of moisture has led to sandstorms which are becoming more intense every year, making the heat feel even worse.

How do Kuwaitis cope with 50°C+ heat?

The three million residents of Kuwait City tend to stay indoors in air conditioned homes, cars and offices, and limit the amount of time they spend outside. There are also indoor shopping malls aplenty, including an entire street lined with palm trees.

Suncream and cold showers are of course a must – although the sun can warm up the pipes, meaning even the cold water is pretty toasty.

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The highest recorded temperature was 54C (Picture: Yasser Al-Zayyat/AFP)
© Provided by Metro

The Kuwaiti government has also allowed funerals to be held at night instead of the day to avoid the oppressive sun.

Animals aren’t so lucky when it comes to escaping the heat though – locals have reported seeing birds falling dead rom the sky, seahorses ‘cooked’ by the sea, and pigeons trying to stay alive by huddling together in the shade to keep calm.

If you head to Kuwait in the summer time, you better check under your car before driving off – it’s one of the few places stray cats and dogs can find a cooler spot to rest in.

The one positive about living in the world’s hottest city is that during the summer months, the city – and particularly the roads – are pretty quiet, with so many people leaving for long getaways, only returning when it’s cooled down.

But, even when Kuwait City is not facing record-breaking heat, average temperatures are still pretty sky high, reaching 45°C.

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Kuwaitis spend lots of time inside (Picture: Yasser Al-Zayyat/AFP/Getty)
© Provided by Metro

What does 50°C+ feel like?

When us Brits are so used to grey and miserable weather, it’s hard to comprehend what living in such sweltering conditions must feel like.

On one Quora forum, people who have experienced it, shared some eye-opening descriptions.

Abishek Mishra wrote: ‘It is UNBEARABLE. I live in Gandhinagar, Gujrat, where the temperature goes up to 50. It’s really hard to tolerate such temperatures. So when you wake up at 7–8am, you’re already bathing in sweat.

‘Next up, when you go to the bathroom for a bath, you find really damn hot water.

‘It’s like having a sauna in your bathroom.’

Another poster, Chris Mason, wrote: ‘While I was working in Oman, the runway temperature hit 50 a few times.

‘The dry heat wasn’t the biggest problem. I found it was more that the wind would pick up the gritty sand and together with the heat it felt like someone holding a hairdryer to my face.

‘It would literally burn my skin. I had to wear trousers and roll down my sleeves. And wrap around sunglasses were essential.’

What affect do high temperatures have on the human body?

According to The World Health Organization, exposure to heat is increasing due to climate change, and this trend will continue.

Globally, extreme temperature events are observed to be increasing in their frequency, duration, and magnitude. In 2015 alone, 175 million additional people were exposed to heat waves compared to average years.

Extended periods of high day and nighttime temperatures can create physiological stress on the body which exacerbates the top causes of death globally, including respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, diabetes and renal disease.

Spending time outside in such high heats is also dangerous. Exposed skin under the sun can burn, and heatstroke, headaches, and fainting are a risk.

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/th ... 2ac5&ei=82
kmaherali
Posts: 25705
Joined: Thu Mar 27, 2003 3:01 pm

Re: Weather Related

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Heat Waves Are Pounding Egypt, and Often There’s No A.C.

Daily power cuts have been plaguing Egypt during an extraordinarily hot summer. Now the blackouts may be temporarily suspended, but the damage to confidence in the government has already been done.


A dark city block, illuminated only by one streetlight and a car’s headlights.
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Shops were closed in Cairo early this month as the government imposed blackouts to save energy.Credit...Mohamed Hossam/EPA, via Shutterstock
By Vivian Yee and Emad Mekay
Reporting from Cairo

July 22, 2024
Updated 9:10 a.m. ET
Egyptian summers have always been hot. But it has not always been this hot, with temperatures barely dipping below 100 degrees in Cairo since May, testing tempers and massacring houseplants. And it has never been this hot at a time when the government has imposed power cuts on most of the country for more than a year, plunging millions into sweaty, un-air-conditioned misery for hours each day.

Since last summer, when energy shortages forced the government to impose the daily power cuts, the blackouts have become such a fact of life that local media has taken to publishing regular tips for what to do if stranded in an elevator as the power goes off. At least nine people have died under such circumstances, according to local media reports.

“Pound on the door and don’t panic,” suggested a recent headline in Al Masry Al Youm, one news outlet. But it had little advice for fish sellers who struggle to refrigerate their wares, farmers whose chickens are dying en masse, people with little cash to fix shorted-out appliances or students studying for the all-important college entrance exams by flashlight.

After importing several emergency cargoes of natural gas, the government said the blackouts would stop from this past Sunday until mid-September, when it said they might be reinstated.

Yet social media users were still reporting power cuts on Sunday, and a government-affiliated news site, Cairo24, quoted a spokesman for the Electricity Ministry, Ayman Hamza, acknowledging that breakdowns and repairs had caused some unplanned outages.

In a year when soaring prices, subsidy cuts and the currency’s steep decline have already left people gasping, Egyptians have little patience for official statements blaming relentless heat waves for the crisis — even if it is true that Egypt is heating up at one of the world’s fastest rates.

“We’ve reached the point where no matter how much we lose, we know full well the government won’t do anything for us,” said Ahmed al-Hawari, 50, an electrical appliance technician in a Cairo suburb who said he often arrived at his repair shop only to turn around and leave when he found the power out. “We have to fend for ourselves.”

He said he was losing business, even though more customers were bringing in fans and kettles damaged by the electrical outages.

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Two young men in light-colored T-shirts at a desk, with notebooks and other study materials in front of them.
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High school students trying to keep cool by studying last month at a library in Alexandria, Egypt.Credit...Hazem Gouda/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Ahmed Rabea, 28, a freelance graphic designer in a village south of Alexandria, resorted to working from his rooftop after losing customers who grew exasperated with his blackout-induced delays. There, he could at least catch a wireless internet signal from the cell towers in an industrial zone nearby.

The problem is, the roof is hot. Very hot.

“Let’s hope they’ll actually end them as announced,” he said of the power outages.

Few Egyptians can afford such disruptions these days. Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine destabilized Egypt’s already fragile economy, the price of everything from groceries to school fees has made eye-popping leaps. Overall inflation has slowed in recent months, yet food prices have continued to increase.

Although international lenders poured $57 billion into Egypt’s coffers this year to steady a country seen as key to regional stability, government finances remain shaky, reflecting a malaise that analysts warn will continue unless Cairo gets serious about economic reforms.

Attacks by Yemen’s Houthi militia on shipping in the Red Sea have drained crucial revenue from Egypt’s Suez Canal. And with domestic gas output declining, the government, which in 2022 was flush enough with natural gas that it aimed to supply a needy Europe with its excess, plans to spend some $1.18 billion on energy imports to stop the blackouts by year’s end.

It also plans to increase renewable energy production, though experts say Egypt has neither the infrastructure nor the regulatory framework to do so quickly.

And it is not clear that Egyptian leaders can quell public discontent spilling over in ways that would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, when President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi enjoyed widespread, though far from universal, support, and his authoritarian grip reduced criticism to a whisper.

A digital advertising screen on a busy street in Giza recently caused a stir when it started flashing images portraying Mr. el-Sisi as a murderer and a thief, a rare spectacle of defiance that quickly went viral.

Rolling blackouts that undermined faith in his predecessor helped bring Mr. el-Sisi to power in a 2013 military takeover that promised competence and stability. But these days, the blackouts strike Egyptians not just as a reflection of government ineptitude, but also as unfair favoritism: Wealthy beach resorts were spared the cuts, while parts of Upper Egypt reported outages lasting more than 10 hours.

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A vendor selling candles in a shop abutting a cobbled street, where one man walks past.
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A shop in Alexandria this month selling candles, widely used as backup lighting as the heat wave strains Egypt’s electrical grid.Credit...Mohamed Hossam/EPA, via Shutterstock

“Seriously, I avoid speaking or dealing with my family or my son during the power cut hours because I lose my temper so quickly,” said Fatma Hassan, 28, who lives in Aswan, Egypt’s southernmost city, where the temperature hit 121 degrees on June 6. In the shade.

While some areas saw no disruptions, she noted, her in-laws lost power for three hours a day. When she visits, the family puts her 10-month-old son in a bucket of water to cool him.

Still, there is little to suggest that the government is losing control. The authorities quickly arrested a technician over the onscreen portrayal of Mr. el-Sisi as a killer, saying the suspect was acting on the orders of an Islamist opposition group that Egypt has branded a terrorist organization. They also arrested more than 100 people accused of calling for a day of protest this month, rights groups say.

But the complaints go on.

“Sunday is too late already” to end the cuts, said Yehiya Ezzat, 38, a poultry wholesaler in Assiut, four hours south of Cairo. He said farmers were losing tens of thousands of baby chicks after less than an hour without ventilation and air-conditioning. “I don’t think they understand the consequences of what they’re doing,” he added.

Not knowing what else to do, Mr. Ezzat recently put some of the chickens that had died during a blackout in a dumpster, he said. He was promptly fined more than $500.

Hossam Abdellatif contributed reporting from Aswan, Egypt.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/22/worl ... -cuts.html
kmaherali
Posts: 25705
Joined: Thu Mar 27, 2003 3:01 pm

Re: Weather Related

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Video: https://vp.nyt.com/video/2024/07/18/121 ... g_720p.mp4
The dried up Verdura river, center, separates the green golf courses of the Verdura Resort from dry, barren landscape, in Sciacca, Sicily.

After Losing Crops to Drought, Sicily Fears Losing Tourism, Too

Parts of southern Italy and other countries in the region are experiencing one of their worst droughts in decades. The authorities say they are working to at least save tourism.

As tourists savored icy granitas under hibiscus trees and swam in the cool Mediterranean Sea, in the farmlands of southern Sicily, among hillsides so scorched they resembled desert dunes, a farmer watched recently as his cows headed to the slaughterhouse.

After months of drought, he didn’t have any water or food to give them.

“It’s devastating,” said the farmer, Lorenzo Iraci Sareri, as tears fell on his tanned face, lined by 40 years of labor pasturing cows. “I have never seen something like this.”

Parts of southern Italy and other Mediterranean regions, including Greece and southeastern Spain, are experiencing one of their worst droughts in decades. It is particularly devastating, experts say, because the lack of rainfall has been made worse by the higher temperatures caused by climate change.

Artificial basins where animals used to drink offer little but cracked earth. Wheat ears are small and hollow. Pergusa Lake in central Sicily, part of a natural reserve, resembles a pale, dry crater.

ImageCows rest behind a truck. Barren hills are in the background.
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A water tank for cows in Leonforte, Sicily. With little food and water available because of the drought, livestock have been taken to slaughter.

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A man pouring water into a bucket in front of a small farm building.
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Lorenzo Iraci Sareri, who has pastured cows for 40 years, said, “I have never seen something like this.”

But for many of these regions, the summer is also peak season for tourism, a key economic lifeline that the authorities fear is being threatened by news of water scarcity, and that they are trying to protect.

“We are forced to sacrifice the damage to agriculture, but we have to try not to damage tourism because it would be even worse,” said Salvatore Cocina, the head of Sicily’s civil protection.

He added that agriculture still accounts for the vast majority of water use, with the general population using just a fraction of it, even when it includes millions of tourists during the summer.

The authorities said they prioritized providing water to hospitals, to businesses that produce key assets like oxygen, and to vulnerable segments of the population. But also to hotels.

“The tourists don’t notice” the drought, Elvira Amata, Sicily’s top tourism official, promised.

Outside five-star resorts, in the arid South of the island, the signs were everywhere.

In Agrigento, which overlooks a valley holding the ruins of several Greek temples, the authorities are rationing water. Some homes on the outskirts have not received any in weeks.

Water scarcity has meant that a small number of small bed-and-breakfasts also had to pull some rooms from the market, or redirect custumers to other hotels, said Francesco Picarella, the head of Federalberghi, Italy’s main hotels association, in Agrigento. But what hurt most were news media reports warning that tourists were “running away” because a lack of water, he said.

Since the reports started coming out, bookings dropped significantly, Mr. Picarella said. The region immediately responded by summoning officials and urging them to protect the tourist season.

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A man sits on the phone at a desk, which is covered with folders and paper.
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Mayor Francesco Micciché of Agrigento at his desk. The mayor said the authorities had sought to preserve tourism by easing the rationing of the water in the city center, home to most bed-and-breakfasts.

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An old man and a young boy stand by a fountain filling jugs and bottles with water.
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A man and his grandson filling tanks and bottles with water from a fountain in Agrigento, Sicily.

The mayor of Agrigento, Francesco Miccichè, said the authorities were distributing water more frequently to the city center, where most bed-and-breakfasts are, and they have made truckloads of water available to hotels. Some still complain about having to pay for the truckloads, but most hotels now can provide water, Mr. Picarella said.

“In the luxury sector I can’t tell them to ration showers,” said Isidoro di Franco, the general manager of Verdura Resort near Agrigento, as he sat at the bar overlooking green golf courses and lush pink and blue ornamental plants.

He said that the resort was restricting water use, and recycling water, but that it could not cut back on basic necessities.

The regional government is planning an advertising campaign to counter fear of the drought. Sicilians insisted that southern Sicily was not only ready to welcome tourists, but also desperately needed them.

“If you take us away tourism too, we are going to die,” said Cinzia Zerbini, a Sicilian spokeswoman for Coldiretti, Italy’s biggest farmers association.

Many farmers are already desperate. One, in the hills near the southern Sicilian town of Caltanissetta, said his goats were drinking from basins so depleted that one of them had died as the mud dried in her stomach.

In northeastern Sardinia, the main lake is at a third of its capacity. A local government representative said officials had to make a choice between tourism and agriculture, and completely halted running water for irrigation.

“We decided to sacrifice agriculture,” said Giancarlo Dionisi, the local prefect of the Sardinian province of Nuoro. While farmers would be compensated for their losses, he said, the damage of having waterless hotels could last longer.

“If tourists who come can’t shower, they create a negative word of mouth,” he said.

Video https://vp.nyt.com/video/2024/07/18/121 ... g_720p.mp4

Yellow and dried-out pastures in Leonforte, Sicily.CreditCredit...

Many in Sicily were so appreciative of the financial benefits brought by tourism that they did not object to water consumption by tourists during the drought. Others raised objections.

Some farmers said that the heightened attention on visitors in Mediterranean regions was enabling a kind of tourism in which local conditions are not taken enough into consideration.

“Locals are getting fractious,” Francesco Vincenzi, the president of the Italian association of agricultural water boards, said in a statement. “They feel threatened in the availability of a primary good like water.”

In the drought affected Spanish region of Catalunya, locals started a campaign called #NoEnRaja, which roughly translates to “you can’t take something from nothing.” They argued that together with agriculture and industry, the booming tourism sector was responsible for the mismanagement of scarce resources.

According to Barcelona’s institute of regional and metropolitan studies, the water consumption of the average guest at a luxury hotel is five times that of a resident, contributing to what the campaign called “the injustice in the use of water.”

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A goat farmer herding goats on a dry landscape.
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“If we don’t get forage and we don’t get water, we will have to slaughter them all,” said Luca Cammarata, a goat farmer near Caltanissetta, Sicily.

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A dead goat.
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A goat died after drinking clay from an almost empty artificial basin in Caltanissetta.

In Portugal this winter, as reservoirs emptied, orange farmers complained that golf courses were still being watered.

“First come the people, then the golf courses, then you,” Pedro Cabrita, an orange farmer, paraphrased a local official as telling him.

Some officials have responded to the apparent imbalance. On the Greek island of Sifnos last year, the mayor called for a ban on the construction of private swimming pools. In Spain, a recent ban on refilling swimming pools included fancy resorts.

Samuel Somot, a researcher at Météo-France, the National Weather Service in France, said increasingly harsh Mediterranean droughts risked future desertification as well as “water wars.”

The problem is likely to intensify. Higher temperatures mean that animals and plants are thirstier while lakes and basins evaporate faster, said Luigi Pasotti, a director with Sicily’s Weather Service for agriculture.

This year, Coldiretti said that Sicilian farms lost over 50 percent of their wheat harvest on average.

In the southern region of Puglia, honey production dropped 60 percent because it was so dry that many plants could not flower. The olive harvest there was predicted to fall by half because of the drought.

In Sicily, the drought is now bringing longstanding water management problems to the fore. Large quantities of water are lost because of poor infrastructure. In Agrigento, that can be over 50 percent, officials said. Desalinators and wells were dismissed in the past.

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A man lifts a drain cover on the ground.
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A man lifting a cover to give residents access to cleaner water. The fountain they usually draw from has been polluted by algae.

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A series of white desalinators at an outdoor plant.
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An abandoned desalination plant in Porto Empedocle, Sicily. The drought has brought to the fore longstanding water infrastructure problems.

The Italian government has announced it would allocate 12 billion euros, roughly $13 billion, to water projects. After years of hearing promises, experts are skeptical that the projects could be put in place anytime soon.

But the issue needs to be addressed fast, said Edoardo Zanchini, the director of Rome’s climate office. “Otherwise the agriculture lands will be abandoned,” he said, “and abandoned lands become deserts.”

The Bank of Italy said the output generated by agriculture in Sicily had dropped last year because of climate induced shocks, while tourism grew. Many farmers in southern Sicily said that they could not withstand another bad year.

“If we don’t get forage and we don’t get water we will have to slaughter them all,” said Luca Cammarata, a goat farmer near Caltanissetta, as he pushed his skinny goats toward the few green sprouts left on his yellow pasture. Another year like this would amount to a “death sentence,” he said.

“Should we all move to the coast and do tourism?” he asked.

Video: https://vp.nyt.com/video/2024/07/18/121 ... g_720p.mp4

An aerial view of yellow and dry pastures in Caltanissetta.CreditCredit...

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/worl ... 778d3e6de3

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Two Landslides Kill 229 People in Ethiopia

A waterlogged hillside above a village gave way, burying several houses in mud. Neighbors and rescue workers who had rushed to help were hit by a second slide.

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Footage from a video released by the local government shows people standing at the bottom of a landslide that occurred in the Geze district in Ethiopia.Credit...Gofa Zone Government Communication, via Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

At least 229 people were killed in southwestern Ethiopia on Monday after a landslide flattened several houses in a village following days of heavy rain, and neighbors who rushed to dig out those buried under the mud were hit with a second landslide about an hour later.

The first landslide struck the village in the Geze district between 8:30 and 9 a.m. on Monday, said Habtamu Fetena, who heads the local government’s emergency response. Nearly 300 people from two neighboring villages ran to the area to help and began digging through the mud by hand, he said Tuesday.

Then about an hour later, without warning, more mud slid down the hillside above the village, and killed many of those trying to help.

“They had no clue that the land they were standing on was about to swallow them,” Mr. Fetena said.

The village hit by the landslides lies in a region that is increasingly vulnerable to the effects of climate change, including long droughts followed by strong storms and more frequent and intense rainfalls, experts said.

Deadly landslides have struck the region before, another local administrator, Dagmawi Ayele, told the Ethiopian Broadcasting Corporation. While some villages were moved after earlier landslides, such disasters were now occurring in areas where they had previously been rare, he added.

The first landslide killed entire families as mud rolled down the hillside, officials said. Teachers and health care workers were among those killed in the second landslide. Among them was the local administrative leader, who had rushed to the scene. Most of those killed were men, but pregnant women and children were also among the dead, Mr. Fetena said.

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A man on his knees digs in a muddy hillsides as others look on.
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A man uses his hands to search for survivors and victims of the landslide.Credit...Isayas Churga/Gofa Zone Government Communication Affairs Department, via Associated Press

The death toll was expected to rise as more victims were pulled from the mud. As of Tuesday afternoon, just 10 people had been pulled alive from the landslide, officials said. Mr. Fetena said only about 20 people had managed to flee to safety in the second landslide.

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed on Tuesday said Ethiopia’s Federal Disaster Prevention Task Force had been sent to the area to help with relief efforts.

The largely rural area had experienced several days of heavy rain, hampering rescue efforts and saturating the land, causing multiple landslides. The mudslides destroyed crops in the area, where farmers produce wheat and barley.

The area where the landslides occurred is impossible to reach with heavy machinery, so villagers and rescue workers were forced to dig by hand. Images from the scene showed a gash in the green hillside where the mud slid down, with rescue workers, knee-deep in the mud, using hoes and shovels or their bare hands to search for victims.

In recent years, East Africa has experienced increasingly extreme weather, according to the United Nations. A third of the countries considered most susceptible to the risks of climate change are in southern and eastern Africa.

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Scores of people stand on a hillside that was swept by two landslides after heavy rains.
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A video released by the local government shows survivors of the landslide in southwestern Ethiopia.Credit...Gofa Zone Government Communication Affairs Department, via Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

East Africa is already more exposed to intense weather because of its position and geography, said Andrew Kruczkiewicz, a climate scientist at the Red Cross Red Crescent’s Climate Center in The Hague. The region is strongly affected by La Niña and El Niño, the climate phenomena that can bring either cooler, wetter weather or drier, hotter weather, as well as the Indian Ocean Dipole, which can lead to higher rainfall on the African coast in some years.

This combination, along with rising temperatures, is making the region’s weather more volatile, Mr. Kruczkiewicz said.

Emerging data is also beginning to show that floods are beginning to follow droughts in closer proximity, and with less time in between, Mr. Kruczkiewicz added.

A drought in Ethiopia from 2016 to 2021 displaced about 800,000 people, while southern Ethiopia was hit by severe flooding last year that affected 1.1 million people, according to the United Nations International Organization for Migration.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/23/worl ... _id=172994
kmaherali
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Re: Weather Related

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Powerful Typhoon Slams Into Taiwan With Wind and Rain

Typhoon Gaemi made landfall on the island with Category 3 winds Wednesday night after killing at least six people in the region.

Video Id: 100000009590030

The typhoon, which caused severe flooding in the Philippines, landed on Taiwan with Category 3 winds.CreditCredit...The New York Times

Update: The storm was expected to make landfall in mainland China on Thursday.

Typhoon Gaemi made landfall in Taiwan at around midnight Wednesday, bringing fierce winds and heavy rain in what was forecast to be the most powerful storm to hit the island in eight years.

The storm made landfall near Nan’ao Township in Yilan County, according to CNA, Taiwan’s national news agency. By early Thursday morning, the typhoon had sustained wind speeds of 109 miles per hour after weakening over land.

Taiwan was on high alert as the storm approached. Schools and businesses were shut, more than 500 flights were canceled and military drills were scrapped, the authorities said. Fewer cars were on the road than usual in the capital, Taipei, where some streets were impassable from floods. Long lines formed at some supermarkets as people stocked up on food and water.

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Source: Joint Typhoon Warning Center All times on the map are Taiwan time. Map shows probabilities of at least 5 percent. The forecast is for up to five days, with that time span starting up to three hours before the reported time that the storm reaches its latest location. Wind speed probability data is not available north of 60.25 degrees north latitude. By William B. Davis, John Keefe and Bea Malsky

The storm’s destructive impact was being felt even before it made landfall.

At least two people died and 201 people were injured, the Taiwan government said on Wednesday. A woman was hit by a piece of a wall that fell from a building in the eastern county of Hualien. In southern Taiwan, a woman was crushed to death by a tree brought down by high winds, the authorities said.

In Yilan County, strong winds ripped out utility poles. In Hualien, which was expected to receive heavy rain, thousands of residents in mountainous areas headed for safety.

Gaemi had maximum sustained winds of 127 miles per hour as it neared Taiwan on Wednesday night, according to the U.S. Navy’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center. That would make it a Category 3 hurricane on the five-tier wind scale that is used to measure tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean.

Before landfall Wednesday, Taiwanese authorities labeled Gaemi a “severe typhoon,” the highest level on their three-tier scale. It was expected to be the first typhoon of that intensity to make landfall on the island since 2016, said Huang Chun-hsi, a meteorologist at Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration.

The storm had a “looping track,” meteorologists said, meaning that it could remain for longer at the same location, bringing more torrential rain and inflicting more damage. Taiwan was last hit by a typhoon of this strength and type in 2008.

“Rainfall that lasts for half a day to a day can cause very serious damage,” said Dr. Huang, the meteorologist.

ImagePeople hold umbrellas as they walk in the rain
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In Taipei on Wednesday as Typhoon Gaemi approached.Credit...Chiang Ying-Ying/Associated Press

As Gaemi approached, heavy rain and strong winds lashed Taiwan, home to about 23 million people. Some weather stations in the north of the island reported more than a foot of rainfall on Wednesday.

Taipower, a state utility, said that bad weather caused by the storm had knocked out power to more than 345,000 customers. Taiwan’s stock exchange was closed on Wednesday and will be closed on Thursday.

Military drills were canceled on Tuesday because of bad weather caused by the typhoon. Defense officials said that personnel involved in those drills would be deployed for emergency preparations and disaster relief.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, the world’s largest maker of advanced computer chips, said in a statement that it expected its factories to maintain normal operations during the typhoon and that it had activated routine storm preparations. The company is a critical node in the global electronics supply chain.

After moving away from Taiwan on Friday, the storm was expected to continue heading northwest toward mainland China.

The Central Meteorological Observatory in China issued the highest-level weather alert for Gaemi, which forecasters predicted would make landfall on Friday in Fujian Province. The province said that it would pause all passenger trains, hundreds of ferry routes and all recreational aquatic activities on Thursday.

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People row a boat through a flooded road
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A flooded street in Manila on Wednesday.Credit...Ted Aljibe/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

The storm has already left destruction in its wake. Gaemi has already thrashed the Philippines, where the storm was called Carina, killing at least four people and dumping heavy rain. A landslide caused by the storm on Wednesday killed four people in Agoncillo, a town south of the capital, Manila, the local authorities said.

In Manila, entire homes were submerged in some areas and government offices were closed on Wednesday. The authorities in the capital region declared a “state of calamity.”

The typhoon also canceled flights to and from eight airports in Japan’s southern Okinawa prefecture on Wednesday and Thursday.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/weat ... pines.html
kmaherali
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Debby Strengthens Into Hurricane as It Approaches Florida

It is expected to hit Florida early Monday, before moving over Georgia and South Carolina, bringing potentially catastrophic flooding.

Video 100000009610974
Hurricane Debby Barrels Toward Florida

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Hurricane Debby brought lashing winds and rain to Florida’s Big Bend coast as it approached from the Gulf of Mexico.CreditCredit...Nicole Craine for The New York Times
By Orlando Mayorquín and Judson Jones
Judson Jones is a meteorologist and a reporter for The Times.


Follow our live updates on the storm. https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/weath ... rida-storm

Debby rapidly strengthened into a hurricane on Sunday night, hours before it was expected to make landfall over Florida’s Big Bend coast early Monday. It will bring potentially “catastrophic flooding” and heavy rainfall to the Southeast region this week, forecasters said.

Officials in Florida, Georgia and South Carolina activated emergency resources, opened temporary shelters and urged residents of low-lying coastal areas in the storm’s path to evacuate, as Debby was expected to bring a life-threatening storm surge.

Here’s what to know about the storm:

- Debby brought tropical storm conditions over the Gulf of Mexico and strengthened rapidly into a hurricane on Sunday night with winds of 80 miles per hour. It is predicted to make landfall early on Monday.

- A hurricane warning was in effect for the Florida Gulf Coast and tropical storm warnings and storm surge warnings were in place for along the coasts of Florida, Georgia and South Carolina. Up to 10 feet of storm surge was expected in some areas. “This is a life-threatening situation,” the National Hurricane Center said on Sunday.

- Tornadoes were possible through Monday morning across Florida and parts of southern Georgia as the storm approached.

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Source: National Hurricane Center All times on the map are Eastern. Map shows probabilities of at least 5 percent. The forecast is for up to five days, with that time span starting up to three hours before the reported time that the storm reaches its latest location. Wind speed probability data is not available north of 60.25 degrees north latitude. By William B. Davis, John Keefe and Bea Malsky

Preparations begin in Florida, Georgia and South Carolina.

Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida activated about 3,000 members of the state National Guard to help respond to the storm. Fifteen counties issued voluntary or mandatory evacuation orders covering thousands of residents where storm surge and major flooding was expected.

Officials urged residents to heed evacuation orders and plan for potential power outages. In Hernando County, north of Tampa, voluntary evacuations began on Saturday night and a shelter was set up at a local school.

A life-threatening storm surge was expected for Tampa and other parts of the Florida Gulf Coast, the National Weather Service said.

Once it reaches Florida’s shores, Debby’s effects will be less about its winds and more about its rains, Mr. DeSantis said at a news conference on Sunday.

The system is expected to then move across southern Georgia from Monday into Tuesday, the Hurricane Center said.

Debby was expected to unleash six to 12 inches of rain in parts of Florida throughout the week. Rainfall of 10 to 20 inches was expected in Georgia and South Carolina, with up to 30 inches in some areas through Friday, forecasters said.

The storm was expected to reach Georgia early on Tuesday. The governor, Brian P. Kemp, on Saturday declared a state of emergency. Gov. Henry McMaster of South Carolina, who also declared a state of emergency ahead of the storm, urged residents to take warnings seriously.

“It is critical that residents in potentially affected areas start making preparations and plans in case it is necessary to take quick action,” he said.

ImageA clouded sky over an empty beach.
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Clouds loomed at St. Pete Beach, Fla., near Tampa, on Sunday as Tropical Storm Debby approached.Credit...Octavio Jones/Reuters

Landfall is expected over the Florida Panhandle.

Forecasters expect Debby to land as a hurricane-strength storm somewhere over the Florida Panhandle early on Monday.

Anywhere from a five-foot storm surge in Tampa Bay to a 10-foot storm surge near where the storm’s center pushes ashore is possible. Hurricane-force winds will occur near the storm’s center, and damaging winds will extend farther out.

Last year, Hurricane Idalia made landfall over the same region as a Category 3 hurricane, bringing storm surge up to 12 feet along parts of the coast. Idalia was the strongest storm to ever hit the Big Bend region of Florida.

“If you have been asked to evacuate by your local officials and you live in one of those storm surge evacuation zones, you still have time to get to a safe place,” Mr. Brennan said.

He also warned of potential “catastrophic flooding” from heavy rainfall along the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina Tuesday into Wednesday.

This hurricane season is expected to be busy.

In May, forecasters with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted an “above normal” number of named storms for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, with 17 to 25 storms expected. Debby is the fourth named storm so far.

The first was Alberto, which made landfall in Mexico as a tropical storm open and left at least four people dead. Alberto was followed by Beryl, which formed just over a week later and became the earliest Category 5 hurricane ever recorded.

It devastated the Caribbean before landing in Texas. Later in July came Tropical Storm Chris, which made landfall in Mexico.

Johnny Diaz and Ali Watkins contributed reporting.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/04/weat ... 778d3e6de3
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Debby Will Bring Heavy Flooding to Georgia and the Carolinas

The tropical storm was creeping north after swamping parts of Florida, where waters are still rising. Debby came ashore as a Category 1 hurricane and caused at least five deaths.

Video: https://vp.nyt.com/video/2024/08/05/121 ... g_480p.mp4

The storm will linger for days. Here’s what to know.

Tropical Storm Debby continued its slow march into Georgia on Monday night, with forecasters warning residents across the southeastern United States that the threat of major flooding from the storm could last for the next several days.

The storm has already dumped heavy rain across northern Florida, where it was blamed for four deaths, led to dangerous river flooding and triggered hundreds of water rescues. In southern Georgia, the storm was linked to the death of a 19-year-old man killed by a falling tree.

The system’s languid pace was of particular concern to forecasters and officials because of the amount of rain the former hurricane could drop as it trundles across the region — as much as 30 inches in parts of South Carolina.

“This is a lot of water coming our way,” said Mayor William Cogswell of Charleston, S.C., which was bracing for as much as a foot of rain overnight.

“We need to take it very, very seriously,” he added.

Debby came ashore as a Category 1 hurricane, with sustained winds of 80 m.p.h., at Steinhatchee, a village of about 500 people that sits on a sparsely populated stretch of the Florida coastline known was the Big Bend.

It is predicted to cross Georgia and South Carolina, before heading back out to sea, where it could absorb even more moisture before making a second landfall in North Carolina later this week.

Here are more details:

Inland flooding: Though storm surge was receding from coastal communities, Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida said that officials anticipated more flooding from rain and swelling rivers. About 500 residents of a Sarasota neighborhood were evacuated from their homes on Monday, some by rescue boats, as Phillippi Creek swelled with rain.

Back out to sea: The Hurricane Center predicts a storm surge of up to four feet on the Georgia and Carolina coasts by midweek after Debby moves offshore. The governors of those states declared emergencies, and officials in cities like Savannah, Ga., and Charleston, S.C., issued curfews to keep people off flooding streets overnight.

Busy season: Debby is the fourth named storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. Seventeen to 25 named storms are expected before the season ends in late fall. In July, Hurricane Beryl became the earliest Category 5 hurricane ever recorded before it struck Texas at Category 1 strength, resulting in at least 23 deaths, according to officials, and leaving parts of the state without power for days.

Climate’s role: Hurricanes have become more destructive over time, in no small part because of the influences of a warming planet. Climate change is producing more powerful storms that generate heavier rainfall and flooding. But humans also make storm damage more extensive by continuing to build in vulnerable parts of the coast.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/weath ... -its-going
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NOAA Forecasts Highly Active Hurricane Season Will Continue

The agency’s new forecast predicts that as many as 24 named tropical storms could form between June 1 and Nov. 30.

Video: https://nyti.ms/4bs5NHd

According to major forecasts, it looks like it’s going to be an above-average hurricane season. Judson Jones, a meteorologist for The New York Times, explains why.

This year’s hurricane season could rank among the busiest on record, according to an update from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Thursday.

The biggest factors are abnormally high sea surface temperatures and the expected emergence of La Niña in the equatorial Pacific, which could increase hurricane activity in the Atlantic, according to Matthew Rosencrans, the lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.

NOAA’s new forecast predicts that as many as 24 named tropical storms, with wind speeds of 39 miles per hour or greater, could form between June 1 and Nov. 30. That’s just one storm less than the agency predicted in May.

At least eight of these storms could become hurricanes, and up to seven could become major hurricanes. That is an increase from a typical season in the Atlantic, which yields 14 named storms and three major hurricanes on average.

“The hurricane season got off to an early and violent start with Hurricane Beryl, the earliest Category 5 Atlantic hurricane on record,” said Rick Spinrad, the administrator of NOAA.

Hurricane season hasn’t reached its peak yet, but it’s just around the corner, Dr. Spinrad added, and the most significant effects from hurricanes and tropical storms in the United States could be yet to come.

The National Weather Service urged people to know their risks, prepare for hurricane-related threats like damaging winds, storm surges and inland flooding from heavy rainfall, and have an evacuation plan ready for themselves and their families.


How to Prepare for Hurricane Season and Evacuations https://www.nytimes.com/article/hurrica ... latedLinks

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Death toll from landslide at Uganda garbage dump rises to 21

Summary
- Death toll has risen progressively since Friday
- President asks all those living near dump site to relocate

KAMPALA, Aug 11 (Reuters) - The death toll from a landslide at a vast garbage dump in Uganda's capital Kampala has risen to 21, police said on Sunday, as rescue workers continued to dig for survivors.

After torrential rain in recent weeks, a huge mound of garbage at the city's only landfill site collapsed late on Friday, crushing and burying homes on the edge of the site as residents slept.

President Yoweri Museveni said in a statement he had directed the prime minister to coordinate the removal of all those living near the garbage dump.

The government has also started investigations into the landslide's cause and will take action against any officials found to have been negligent, the Inspectorate of Government said on X.

At least 14 people have been rescued so far, police spokesperson Patrick Onyango said, adding that more could still be trapped but the number was unknown.

Tents have been set up nearby for those displaced by the landslide, the Red Cross said.

The landfill site, known as Kiteezi, has served as Kampala's sole garbage dump for decades and had turned into a big hill. Residents have long complained of hazardous waste polluting the environment and posing a danger to residents.

Efforts by the city authority to procure a new landfill site have dragged on for years.

There have been similar tragedies elsewhere in Africa from poorly managed mountains of municipal garbage.

In 2017 at least 115 people were killed in Ethiopia, crushed by a garbage landslide in Addis Ababa. In Mozambique, at least 17 people died in a similar 2018 disaster in Maputo.

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/de ... 778d3e6de3
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How Extreme Heat Is Threatening Education Progress Worldwide

Children today face many more extreme weather hazards that can undermine global gains in education.

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Extreme heat in May closed some schools in the Philippines. Students did schoolwork near a Manila storefront.Credit...Ezra Acayan/Getty Images

The continued burning of fossil fuels is closing schools around the world for days, sometimes weeks at a time, and threatening to undermine one of the greatest global gains of recent decades: children’s education.

It’s a glimpse into one of the starkest divides of climate change. Children today are living through many more abnormally hot days in their lifetimes than their grandparents, according to data released Wednesday by Unicef, the United Nations Children’s Fund.

Consider the scale of some recent school closures.

Pakistan closed schools for half its students, that’s 26 million children, for a full week in May, when temperatures were projected to soar to more than 40 degrees Celsius. Bangladesh shuttered schools for half its students during an April heat wave, affecting 33 million children. So too South Sudan in April. The Philippines ordered school closures for two days, when heat reached what the country’s meteorological department called “danger” levels.

And in the United States, heat days prompted school closures or early dismissal in districts from Massachusetts to Colorado during the last school year. They still represent a small share of total school days, though one recent estimate suggests that the numbers are increasing quickly, from about three days a year a few years ago to double that number now, with many more expected by midcentury.

In short, heat waves, exacerbated by the accumulation of planet-heating gases in the atmosphere, are making it harder to learn. Even if schools are open, extremely high temperatures, especially over several hours, affects learning outcomes, including test scores, research shows.

“We are deeply concerned that the number of extreme heat days is going to indirectly lead to learning loss,” Lily Caprani, chief of advocacy for Unicef, said in a telephone interview on Tuesday.

A generation gap

The effects on school closures are a glimpse into the stark generation gap of climate hazards. One in five children around the world are experiencing twice as many days of extreme heat today, compared with their grandparents, according to the Unicef data.

All told, 466 million children worldwide live today in areas experiencing at least twice as many extremely hot days, defined as over 35 degrees Celsius, as their grandparents.

That gap is most stark for children in low- and middle-income countries. Children in 16 countries, including most of the countries in the Sahel, now experience at least 30 additional extremely hot days a year, compared with six decades ago.

Extreme weather hazards, especially unusually high temperatures, are a hallmark of human-made climate change, driven by the burning of coal, oil and gas. Global average temperatures have demonstrably risen over the past 150 years of industrialization. Aggravating that trend this year is a natural cyclical weather phenomenon known asENSO, or the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. The El Niño phase that ended in June helped supersized heat waves, making 2024 a contender for the hottest year on record, alongside 2023.

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Rows of wooden school desks and benches stand empty in a darkened classroom.
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An empty classroom during a school closure from heat in Dhaka, Bangladesh, in April.Credit...Mohammad Ponir Hossain/Reuters

Location matters

The generation gap is most stark in some of the poorest countries in the world.

Nearly 40 percent of children in Benin and 66 percent of children in Ivory Coast, for instance, are expected to experience twice as many extreme heat days in their lifetimes, compared with their grandparents. That’s also true for two out of three children in Palestine and nearly half of all children in Honduras.

Some wealthy countries are feeling the gap too. An estimated 85 percent of children in France and 76 percent in Greece are due to experience twice as many of those extreme heat days as compared to the 1960s.

Countries in South Asia are outliers, in some sense, according to the data. Unicef analysts point out that they have long had many days with temperatures greater than 35 degrees C, or 95 degrees F, and while India, Pakistan and Bangladesh have all experienced deadly heat waves in recent years, the data doesn’t show a significant increase in their frequency across three generations.


//Have Climate Questions? Get Answers Here. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... latedLinks
//What’s causing global warming? How can we fix it? This interactive F.A.Q. will tackle your climate questions big and small.

There is no comprehensive global data on school closure days resulting from extreme weather. The decisions are often taken locally and often quickly, based on weather forecasts. Still, based on media reports, the United Nations Secretary General’s office recently estimated that at least 80 million children were out of school in 2024 because of extreme heat alone.

Climate shocks on schooling matter all the more because of the huge progress that’s been made in education in recent decades. School enrollment has grown sharply, and literacy rates have improved as well. That progress seems to be stagnating. For a variety of reasons including war and the coronavirus pandemic, the number of out-of-school children is rising, according to the latest global data.

Around half of those out-of-school children live in the world’s most climate-vulnerable countries, according to a separate analysis by the global charity Save the Children.

Then there’s the flooding

Floods have wreaked havoc on schools as well.

In Brazil, deadly floods amplified by climate change closed schools for weeks, affecting tens of thousands of students. In India, schools closed for days in several parts of the country in July and August, including in the state of Kerala, which were made more intense by human-caused climate change and killed more than 200 people.

An earlier report, based on climate models and published by Save the Children, found that, on average, a child born in 2020 is projected to experience, nearly three times as many river floods and twice as many wildfires over their lifetimes, compared with a person born in 1960.

The generation gap is sharpest, though, when it comes to heat. A child born in 2020 is projected to experience nearly seven times as many heat waves in their lifetime than a person born in 1960, the analysis found.

Children in low- and middle-income countries — parts of the world that are least responsible for the greenhouse gas emissions driving climate change — are projected to feel “the most dangerous impacts,” the analysis found.

Heat adaptation needed in schools

Scientists say that the only way to address rising global temperatures is to pivot away from burning fossil fuels, the main driver of global warming. Even if that were to happen, and there’s little evidence that it’s happening at the speed and scale required, schools need to figure out how to cope with higher temperatures.

The most obvious measure is to fix school buildings to keep heat out of the classroom more effectively, with better insulation, white reflective paint or green plants on rooftops and shade trees on the school’s periphery.

Air-conditioning is a luxury out of reach of most schools. Even in the United States, around half of all school districts need to install or fix their air conditioning systems, according to the U.S. Government Accountability Office.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/14/clim ... 778d3e6de3

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Heat Contributed to 47,000 Deaths in Europe Last Year, but Relief Programs Helped https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/12/clim ... latedLinks
Aug. 12, 2024

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Nights in Las Vegas Are Becoming Dangerously Hot https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... latedLinks
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Hurricane Ernesto Knocks Out Power to Hundreds of Thousands in Puerto Rico

The island’s frail electrical system struggled as the storm passed on Wednesday.

Video: https://nyti.ms/3M93Ggt

Hundreds of thousands on the island lost power as the Category 1 storm strained the island’s frail electrical system.CreditCredit...Ricardo Arduengo/Reuters

Hurricane Ernesto left hundreds of thousands of Puerto Ricans without power on Wednesday after its wind and rain pelted the island’s frail electrical system.

More than 718,000 customers were still without electricity as of 5:45 p.m., Luma Energy, the power utility, reported. That amounted to half of the almost half of the 1.5 million customers the utility serves. Entire towns in parts of Puerto Rico were without power.

//Ernesto’s Forecast

//Ernesto Prompts Hurricane Warning for Bermuda as It Grows Stronger https://www.nytimes.com/article/tropica ... latedLinks

“This shows how fragile the electrical system is, seven years after Hurricane Maria,” said Luis Javier Hernández Ortiz, the mayor of Villalba, a small town in south-central Puerto Rico that was entirely without power. “In my town, we had a lot of rain, but there was not significant wind.”

He and his team toured the town and saw little evidence of fallen power lines. “There is no logical reason why our town has no service,” he said in an interview on Wednesday afternoon.

Juan Saca, Luma’s president and chief executive, said in a news briefing that crews were out assessing whether power lines had been knocked out — which would require lengthier repairs — or had been brushed by vegetation. A bump from a tree or branch would have automatically shut down the line for safety, Mr. Saca said, but would make it easier to restore power.

Alejandro González, Luma’s director of operations, said the utility was waiting for weather conditions to improve to send two helicopters to fly over the grid and assess the damage. By Wednesday afternoon, the center of the storm had moved past Puerto Rico.

The Luma executives said it was too early to say when power might be restored.

Power outages “affect the quality of life, and affect what we can do in many areas” to return to normal after the storm, Gov. Pedro R. Pierluisi said.

In 2017, Hurricane Maria knocked out electricity across all of Puerto Rico, exposing the vulnerabilities of the island’s antiquated and inefficient power grid. Some people did not get their electricity back for more than a year.

The grid has been plagued by aging equipment, lack of maintenance and past mismanagement and corruption. Luma, a private Canadian-American consortium, took over the transmission and distribution of power in 2021. The bankrupt public utility, the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority, known as PREPA, remains in charge of power generation. Ernesto did not damage any of the power plants, a PREPA representative said.

Puerto Ricans pay about 40 percent more for electricity than the average U.S. customer, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Electricity was also hampered in the U.S. Virgin Islands, just east of Puerto Rico in the Caribbean. Daryl Jaschen, the emergency management director for the territory, said in a briefing late on Wednesday morning that the power was out across the entirety of St. John and St. Croix. There was some power being generated in St. Thomas, he said.

Ernesto became a hurricane on Wednesday near Puerto Rico after strengthening in the Caribbean. The storm is expected to strengthen further as it approaches Bermuda by the weekend, according to forecasters.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/14/us/p ... nesto.html
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Typhoon Ampil Lashes Eastern Japan, Forcing Evacuations

The authorities have warned that the storm, which has already flooded some streets in the Tokyo area, could bring violent winds and cause landslides.

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Typhoon Ampil neared eastern Japan on Friday, felling trees, forcing evacuations and causing widespread travel disruptions.Credit...Philip Fong/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Typhoon Ampil neared eastern Japan with strong winds on Friday and dumped heavy rain on the greater Tokyo area, flooding some streets, forcing evacuations and causing widespread disruptions to businesses and travel.

The Japanese authorities have warned that the storm could bring violent wind, high waves and the risk of landslides. Ampil had maximum sustained winds of 132 miles per hour on Friday morning, similar in strength to a Category 4 hurricane, the U.S. Navy’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center said.

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Rain began falling in parts of the greater Tokyo area early Friday. By around noon, the storm had flooded roads and felled trees in Chiba Prefecture, east of Tokyo, according to the local news media.

Ampil’s most powerful winds and heaviest rain were expected to reach Japan by Friday evening, though the storm was not expected to make landfall, forecasters said.

Up to eight inches of rain were forecast in the Tokyo area and the Izu Islands, south of the capital, for the 24-hour period starting Friday morning, the Japan Meterological Agency said.

Wind speeds of up to 56 m.p.h. were forecast in the Tokyo area, forecasters warned.

The agency on Friday issued flood, heavy rain and high wave warnings for the Izu Islands and areas around Tokyo, including Chiba, Fukushima and Shizuoka prefectures. Some of those warnings were expected to last into Saturday.

The city of Mobara, east of Tokyo, issued evacuation orders on Thursday for residents in areas prone to landslides and floods, citing the possibility of damage from the typhoon. The city also suspended its municipal buses on Friday.

Ampil has also disrupted Japan’s delivery system. Japan Post and Yamato Transport suspended operations in several prefectures. Sagawa Express said that delays caused by traffic restrictions and ferry and flight cancellations would affect areas as far as Hokkaido, in northern Japan.

Tokyo Disneyland said that it would close at 3 p.m. on Friday because of the typhoon, shortening its operations by six hours.

Travel disruptions began on Thursday when airlines and train operators suspended some services in anticipation of the bad weather caused by the typhoon.

Bullet trains connecting Tokyo and Nagoya, a nearby city, were canceled for Friday. All Nippon Airways and Japan Airlines said they had canceled more than 670 flights that were scheduled for Friday and Saturday, affecting more than 120,000 passengers.

Ampil is forecast to move north along Japan’s east coast before swerving eastward on Saturday, away from the country and into the Pacific, according to a storm track published by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center.

Typhoons are tropical cyclones that have formed in the Western Pacific or Indian Oceans carrying sustained winds of at least 74 m.p.h. Hurricanes are tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean with winds of 74 m.p.h. or greater.

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'Bad omen' declared after ancient pyramid suddenly collapses

Fears of an impending apocalypse are circulating following the sudden collapse of an ancient pyramid.

The stone monument, which has stood proud in the Mexican state of Michoacàn for some 1,100 years, caved in on the night of 29 July, leaving an ominous pile of rubble.

Having weathered the centuries, the 15-metre (around 50-foot)-high was unable to withstand the pressure of intense rain, which battered it over a number of hours.

The pyramid, which forms part of the prized archaeological site of Ihuatzio, was once one of the best-preserved monuments of the region’s pre-Hispanic history.

But now, experts fear for the future of such iconic structures, as the threat of extreme weather events looms heavy across the world.

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The pre-Hispanic structure is believed to date back to around 900 BC ((Ramiro Aguayo/INAH))

Mexico has suffered a succession of natural disasters, with the country’s worst drought in 30 years swiftly followed by a barrage of thunderstorms and heavy rainfall."

The high temperatures, previously recorded in the area, and the consequent drought caused cracks that favoured the filtration of water into the interior of the pre-Hispanic building," Mexico's National Institute of Anthropology and History (INAH) said in a translated statement about the crumbling pyramid.

As a result, the monument’s collapse was all but inevitable, the INAH added, stressing that officials were now focused on repairing the structure "in recognition of the cultural heritage of Mexicans."


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Swathes of Mexico have been flooded in recent months, just after the country suffered record-breaking droughts ((YURI CORTEZ/AFP via Getty Images))

Meanwhile, the building’s sudden disintegration has been a major blow to the Purépecha people, who have inhabited the region for centuries.

Some have even warned that the structure’s demise could be a sign of darker things to come.

Local resident Tariakuiri Alvarez wrote in a Facebook post that his ancestors would have regarded the destruction as a “bad omen", indicating the "proximity of a significant event".

In his message, he explained that before the arrival of the Spanish conquistadors in Mexico, a similar cataclysm occurred because the gods were “displeased”.

In a further portentous twist, commentators have pointed out that just days after the pyramid’s collapse, another ancient monument caved in; this time, in the US.

Glenn Canyon's iconic Double Arch before (left) and after (right) its collapse ((National Park Service))

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Utah’s celebrated Double Arch (also known as “the Toilet Bowl” and the “Hole in the Roof”) collapsed in the Glen Canyon National Recreation Area on August 8.

As the name suggests, the Double Arch consisted of a close-set pair of natural arches made out of Navajo sandstone, which was believed to date back around 190 million years.

In a statement, the National Park Service announced that the popular tourist attraction had succumbed to changing water levels and erosion.

And whether or not the destruction of two beloved landmarks signifies that the end of the world is nigh, one thing is clear: environmental changes are having a dramatic effect on the world around us, and we must act quickly or brace for further dramatic losses.

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/ba ... 3313&ei=12
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Typhoon Shanshan Approaches Japan, Bringing Heavy Rain and Winds

Japan’s southern islands were forecast to receive the most rain. The powerful storm has forced flight cancellations and disrupted high-speed rail travel.

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Waves hitting a coastal area of western Japan on Tuesday, as Typhoon Shanshan approached.Credit...Hidetaka Komukai/Kyodo News, via Associated Press

Typhoon Shanshan as of 10 p.m. J.S.T. ›
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Typhoon Shanshan Approaches Japan, Bringing Heavy Rain and Winds - The New York Times
Typhoon Shanshan was churning toward southwestern Japan on Tuesday, bringing torrential rain and strong winds, forcing some flight cancellations and disrupting the country’s high-speed rail network.

The powerful storm had sustained wind gusts of up to 120 miles per hour on Tuesday, equivalent to a Category 3 hurricane, according to the U.S. Navy’s Joint Typhoon Warning Centre.

As the typhoon slowly approaches the Amami Islands, an archipelago southwest of Japan’s mainland, it is expected to dump up to 16 inches of rain on the islands from midday Tuesday to midday Wednesday, the Japanese Meteorological Agency said. Later in the week, parts of western Japan may receive nearly two feet of rain within 24 hours. The agency warned of the potential for widespread floods and landslides.

After approaching the Amami Islands, the storm is predicted to shift north on Wednesday and approach Kyushu, one of Japan’s main islands, by Thursday. It may make landfall in Kyushu, the agency said, but forecasters are uncertain about its exact path.

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Sources: National Hurricane Center and Joint Typhoon Warning Center All times on the map are Japan time. Map shows probabilities of at least 5 percent. The forecast is for up to five days, with that time span starting up to three hours before the reported time that the storm reaches its latest location. Wind speed probability data is not available north of 60.25 degrees north latitude. By William B. Davis, John Keefe and Bea Malsky
Because the typhoon is moving slowly, the Amami region and western Japan will experience long periods of violent or very strong winds and rain, the agency said.

Winds of up to 90 miles per hour were forecast in southern Kyushu and the Amami region starting from Tuesday, and could increase to 110 miles per hour on Wednesday.

If the typhoon speeds up after landfall, it could exit swiftly up the spine of the country and weaken over the rugged mountains. But the storm could have even more severe effects if it stalls right at landfall, hangs around for a few days or spins back south.

Japan Airlines said that it had canceled some Wednesday flights arriving and departing from parts of central Japan, including from Osaka Kansai Airport, one of the country’s biggest airports. All Nippon Airlines, the country’s largest airline, said that the storm was expected to affect some flights at Osaka airport.

The country’s high-speed rail network, the Shinkansen, began to cancel some services starting Tuesday. The cancellations may last until the weekend, its operators warned.

The start of the Pacific Ocean typhoon season this year has seen a lower number of tropical storms than average, in part because of the La Niña weather pattern that is predicted to arrive later this summer, according to the National Weather Service.

La Niña, which is defined by cooler equatorial sea surface temperatures, typically increases wind shear — changes in wind speed and direction — in the central Pacific region, which makes it harder for storms to develop, the Weather Service said in May.

Still, forecasters said on Tuesday that several other tropical storms brewing in the region near Hawaii, including Hone and Hector, though none were close enough to threaten the island.

Gilma, another storm in the region with Category 2 hurricane wind speeds, was expected to reach the central Pacific basin on Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center. The storm is whirling toward Hawaii and threatening to bring rainfall, but it is too early to know if it will pass over the islands or near them this week.

Between May and July, the region saw three tropical storms, two typhoons and one major typhoon, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The average for that period between 1991 and 2020 is about eight tropical storms, about four typhoons and two major typhoons.

Judson Jones and Isabella Kwai contributed reporting.

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kmaherali
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Tropical Storm Shanshan Drenches Southern Japan, Disrupting Train and Air Travel

Video: https://nyti.ms/3MpUpkf
The storm unleashed torrential rain, hurricane-force winds and the threat of landslides.CreditCredit...Kyodo, via Reuters

Tropical storm Shanshan lashed southern Japan with record rainfall and powerful winds on Thursday, flooding towns, knocking out power to tens of thousands of homes, disrupting travel and forcing more than four million evacuations.

The storm, the strongest to hit Japan this year, had maximum sustained winds of up to 52 miles per hour and gusts of 63 m.p.h. late on Thursday, according to the U.S. Navy’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center, which downgraded Shanshan from a typhoon to a tropical storm Thursday evening.

Shanshan had peaked at a strength equivalent to a Category 4 hurricane before making landfall as a typhoon around 8 a.m. on Kyushu, the southernmost of Japan’s main islands, according to the Japan Meteorological Agency. It was forecast to move north through Kyushu before shifting east on Friday and Saturday, moving further inland and losing strength.

The storm was weakening as it moved slowly inland, but the authorities issued warnings for landslides and floods in many parts of southwestern Japan. More than 4.1 million people were under evacuation orders nationwide, Japan’s Cabinet Office said on Thursday.

“This is one of the biggest typhoons in recent years, for a prefecture that experiences many typhoons every year,” Kensei Tomisako, a disaster response official in Satsumasendai, said in an interview.


Major hurricane
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Sources: National Hurricane Center and Joint Typhoon Warning Center All times on the map are Japan time. Map shows probabilities of at least 5 percent. The forecast is for up to five days, with that time span starting up to three hours before the reported time that the storm reaches its latest location. Wind speed probability data is not available north of 60.25 degrees north latitude. By William B. Davis, John Keefe and Bea Malsky
Tropical Storm Shanshan Drenches Southern Japan, Disrupting Train and Air Travel - The New York Times

Shanshan has brought record rainfall. Some parts of Kyushu recorded 2.6 feet of rain in 48 hours, forecasters said. The storm, moving northeast at just 9 m.p.h. late on Thursday, lashed some areas with rain for hours.

Three people died after a landslide on Tuesday buried their home in Gamagori, a city in central Japan that was hit by heavy rain, the local government said early Thursday. Another person died after a roof collapsed in Kamiita Town, according to Japan’s public broadcaster, NHK.

More than 80 people were injured in the storm, and one person was missing, the news agency said. More than 119,000 households were without power late on Thursday in Kyushu, the service provider Kyushu Electric Power Transmission and Distribution said.

Japan Airlines, one of the country’s largest airlines, canceled all flights to and from Nagasaki and seven other cities in Shanshan’s path on Thursday and said that many flights to and from 20 cities across the country on Friday had already been canceled. All Nippon Airways also canceled all flights that had been scheduled at Kansai International Airport for Friday.

Shinkansen bullet-train service was suspended on Thursday for all of Kyushu, along with service between Tokyo and Osaka, because of heavy rain. Many of the train lines linking major cities in western Japan, including Osaka, Kyoto and Hiroshima, were also suspended.

On Wednesday, the authorities issued rare emergency warnings for the storm in Kagoshima Prefecture, indicating that a large-scale disaster was possible, according to the Japan Meteorological Agency. The warnings were downgraded on Thursday morning.

Toyota announced that it would pause production at all 14 of its Japan factories starting Wednesday evening. On Thursday morning, the carmaker said that it would extend the suspension until Friday for all but one of the factories.

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kmaherali
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Re: Weather Related

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Record Rainfall Spoils Crops in China, Rattling Its Leaders

Some vegetables cost more than they have in five years. Top Chinese officials have made a point of showing that they’re doing something about it.

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Vegetable prices in China have gone up in recent weeks after crops were damaged by bouts of heavy rainfall.Credit...Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

After weeks of drought, farmers in the typically arid agricultural belt in northern China were ill prepared for the torrential rain that inundated fields earlier this summer and decimated their crops of eggplant, cucumbers and cabbage.

Farmers in the city of Shijiazhuang, 180 miles from Beijing, showed in a video posted to social media in late August how days of downpours and an overflowing reservoir had turned soil into sludge unfit for growing plants. Across the country, a shift in weather patterns has caught people off guard, with floods arriving two months earlier than usual in the south and then extending to northern and eastern provinces that are more accustomed to summer drought.

The prices of many vegetables nationwide rocketed, some by up to 40 percent, reaching their highest level in five years and hitting the pocketbooks of consumers who already face hard spending choices as China’s economy has slowed.

The extreme weather is a challenge not only for China’s people: The country’s leaders attach great importance to ensuring they can feed its 1.4 billion-person population, seen as necessary for ensuring social stability. They also want people to spend more on consumer goods to boost the sluggish broader economy, rather than paying higher prices for staples such as food.

China’s leader, Xi Jinping, held an emergency meeting of his cabinet in late July to discuss the flooding and its toll on the people. He had a clear message, state media reported: Keep agricultural losses to a minimum and ensure food security. Other senior leaders, including the premier Li Qiang, who is more often photographed in factories and halls of power, made rare visits to shelters and inspected flood-control projects, calling on local officials to step up.

While climate change is upending food supply chains everywhere, it is a particularly sensitive issue in China, where famines have historically led to unrest, and leaders have long made food security a policy priority. The latest flooding is a reminder of how even the ruling Communist Party struggles to tame the unpredictable weather gods.

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A man in a hat walks along a rudimentary wooden bridge perched just above brown water flooding a street lined with shops
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Heavy rainfall flooded a town in Jiujiang, Jiangxi Province, in July.Credit...Tingshu Wang/Reuters

The stakes are high: China is already the world’s largest food importer and needs to feed almost one-sixth of the world’s population with less than one-tenth of the world’s arable land, which has shrunk and degraded with heavy fertilizer use and pollution. The ranks of farmers have thinned out, with generations of people moving into towns and cities in pursuit of better wages.

Add extreme weather to the list of challenges. More rivers flooded this year than any other since records in China began in 1998, the Ministry of Water Resources said in August. The country this year also recorded its hottest July since at least 1961.

Weather phenomena are expected to become more frequent. While China has made huge investments in updating dams and putting in place warning systems for impending weather events, that money has mostly gone into areas where such events are predictable. Officials now need to be more nimble to keep pace with weather changes in other areas.

“Climate change is another motivating factor for China to focus on food security,” said Darin Friedrichs, the agriculture market research director at Sitonia Consulting. “A common idea in state media and official speeches is the idea that, given its size, China cannot rely on other countries to feed it through imports.”

China suffered more than $10 billion in losses from natural disasters in July, some 90 percent of which was caused by heavy rain and floods, the Ministry of Emergency Management reported, while nearly six million acres of crops were damaged.

Consumers in China’s north and east last month complained in videos posted online by influencers about the price of eggplant, string beans and cucumbers. “It’s so expensive — who can even afford to eat them?” asked one buyer in Yan’an, Shaanxi Province.

The country has been struggling with slower economic growth since the pandemic and has at times seen a broad decline in prices, known as deflation. But when food prices rise, consumers have less money to spend on other items.

“If food prices keep going up for an extended period of time, then it hurts household spending power” in an already sluggish economy, Zongyuan Zoe Liu, the Maurice R. Greenberg senior fellow for China studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, said in a phone interview.

Prices of some vegetables are historically volatile and have already fallen from record highs. Dr. Liu said she expects them to come down more after the rainy season.

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A field of dark green plants is inundated with murky water
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A corn field is partially submerged by floodwaters in Jiujiang.Credit...Tingshu Wang/Reuters

But in the longer term, experts say, China’s leaders face more significant challenges. Not long after Mr. Xi came into power in 2012, he warned that the country should not grow complacent over its stable level of grain reserves, saying food security was “a red line that would trigger terrible consequences were it ever to be compromised.”

Ensuring food supplies has become part of Mr. Xi’s political brand. He has declared in numerous speeches the importance of revitalizing rural areas to build a stable base for agriculture. In earlier years, he pushed for a “clean plate campaign” to eliminate “shocking and distressing” squandering of food.

The distribution of water is historically uneven in the country, leaving the south prone to floods and the north vulnerable to drought in the heat of summer. The government invested heavily in nearly 8,000 water conservancy projects across the country, including diverting excess water from large rivers in the south to the northern part of the country.

“The government is — reasonably — directing its investments in flood control infrastructure toward areas where floods have occurred historically,” said Even Pay, an agriculture analyst at Trivium China, a policy research consultancy. “But the problem is that as a result of climate change, those patterns are changing. That means the best infrastructure may be slightly in the wrong place, and some places that are experiencing serious floods now or likely to in the future are underinvested.”

Flood control in cities has sometimes come at the expense of rural residents. Last summer, nearly a million residents of the northern province of Hebei and villages neighboring Beijing had to evacuate after their towns were flooded when officials opened the floodgates to low-lying land surrounding the capital.

For local officials, however, it is often impossible to protect both the larger urban population and those living outside. Officials will face more strategic choices about where floodwater is discharged as floods become more frequent in coming years, experts said.

In July, China’s financial ministry allocated $76.5 million to support disaster relief, with the bulk going into flood relief in provinces along the grain belt and in the south.

Teams of experts were dispatched to drain fields and teach farmers how to clean leaves of sludge. Farmers whose harvests have been ruined were given emergency relief seeds of hardier crops. But that might not be enough, according to Ms. Pay, the policy analyst.

“Depending on where you are geographically by late August, in many regions of the country, there isn’t going to be enough time to grow a new crop before fall harvest,” she said. “And, in those cases, officials are looking at bailouts for the farmers that have been hit the hardest.”

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kmaherali
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Two Years After Deadly Floods Hit Pakistan, It’s Happening Again

Millions of people still recovering from the devastation of 2022 are bracing for the possibility of losing what they’ve rebuilt.

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Flooding in Sehwan, in southeast Pakistan. Unusually heavy rains are lashing the country during this year’s monsoon season.

One recent evening, as heavy monsoon rains pounded down, Fauzia and her extended family of 15 huddled under a makeshift tent, its top patched with large plastic sheets.

Two years ago, her home was damaged in some of the worst flooding to ever hit Pakistan, a catastrophe that left more than 1,700 people dead and affected 30 million. Her family rebuilt three rooms with borrowed money and the sale of livestock. But as torrential rains have returned this year, their home has been damaged yet again, forcing them into the tent during downpours. Their memories of 2022 fill them with fear.

“Our children are terrified of the rain now,” said Fauzia, who, like many women in rural Pakistan, goes by one name. “Whenever it rains or the wind picks up, they cling to us and cry, ‘We will drown.’”

As unusually heavy rains lash Pakistan during this monsoon season, Fauzia is one of millions across the country who had only just recovered from the devastating 2022 floods and are now bracing for the possibility of losing what they had rebuilt.

That prospect has stoked outrage among some Pakistanis, who say that the authorities have not adequately prepared for the latest deluges, which have killed at least 285 people since July 1, according to the National Disaster Management Authority.

Government officials say they have taken steps like implementing early warning systems and strengthening embankments along major rivers. But critics say that Pakistan’s political, economic and security instability has pushed flood recovery and climate-change mitigation measures to the bottom of the government’s priorities.

ImageA woman sits on a bed in her spartan home, looking to her right.
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“Our children are terrified of the rain now,” said Fauzia, whose home had to be rebuilt after flooding in 2022. The home was damaged again this summer from heavy rains.

Environmental groups have criticized the government for what they called delayed and insufficient relief efforts; substandard infrastructure, especially in rural areas unprepared for large-scale disasters; and pervasive issues of corruption, mismanagement and lack of coordination among agencies.

In recent weeks, Pakistan has been afflicted both by heavy rains and unusually high temperatures that have accelerated snowmelt in its mountainous northern regions. The runoff has turned into roaring rivers, drenching the south.

The torrential rains are expected to continue for weeks, according to the Pakistan Meteorological Department.

In the remote Upper Dir district of the northwestern province of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, a mudslide set off by heavy monsoon rains struck a house late last week, killing 12 people, most of them children, rescue officials said.

The province of Balochistan, in the southwest, is also grappling with widespread flooding. Infrastructure has been damaged and vital services have been disrupted, including the gas supply to several districts, among them Quetta, the provincial capital.

Experts have linked Pakistan’s floods in recent years to climate change, with rains getting more intense during the monsoon season, which runs from July to September. The 2022 disaster caused an estimated $30 billion in damage, the equivalent of nearly 9 percent of the country’s annual economic output.

The floodwaters left deep scars in the villages of southern Sindh Province, where Fauzia lives with her family. Sindh, positioned downstream from Pakistan’s other provinces in the country’s southeast, bore the brunt of the 2022 floods. Nearly 1,100 people in the province were killed, and almost eight million were displaced.

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Two tents sit next to a small brick building in the middle of a field. Piles of bricks lie near the tents.
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The Dadu district in Sindh Province, which bore the brunt of the 2022 floods, with nearly eight million people being displaced.

Fauzia’s village is in the Dadu district, one of the hardest hit in the flooding two years ago. The village is called Allah Bachayo, which means “God saves.” The heavy rains that caused the 2022 flooding lasted for more than 24 hours, Fauzia said, inundating the entire region. The family survived by going to the top of a nearby canal embankment.

Recent torrential rains have only compounded the suffering. “The rainwater pooled outside our homes has been causing us immense anxiety and bringing back traumatic memories of the 2022 floods,” said Fauzia, her gaze fixed on the standing water.

Government reconstruction efforts have yet to fully repair the damage. Electricity remains scarce after the floods severely damaged the power infrastructure. Many people are living in makeshift tents near their destroyed houses, and children still lack access to education.

After the disaster, the Sindh government announced a plan to rebuild 2.1 million houses. But many villagers complain that only a fraction of the promised assistance has been delivered.

For those who have received the aid, the reconstruction payment — $1,078 in three installments — is insufficient to build even a single room measuring 16 by 18 feet without a kitchen.

Shahzadi, a woman in her 50s, had to supplement the government assistance by selling her goats and jewelry, raising an additional $450 for the construction.

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A man stands on a beam several feet over the ground as he lays bricks to rebuild a home. Several people are looking up at him.
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Rebuilding a home that was destroyed in 2022.

On a recent afternoon, she and her daughter worked tirelessly alongside a mason, mixing cement and passing concrete blocks to save on labor costs. “We can’t afford to pay two helpers $22 a day each,” she said, her hands caked with mud. She said that the cost of construction materials had doubled since the 2022 floods.

Before the disaster, Shahzadi lived in a three-room house with her family. They have since spent two long years living in tents.

As for her new one-room house, “it’s not a home; it’s a compromise,” she said with a sigh, glancing at the half-finished structure. “But at least our children can live in a room instead of under the open sky.”

The crisis in the villages has been worsened by two consecutive years of poor crop yields, a result of damage to irrigation systems. Even though electric power has not been restored, villagers complain that they continue to receive electricity bills.

In Sindh, farmers typically grow two crops a year. They harvest rice and cotton in the fall and then start planting wheat around late October or November.

Maqbool Ahmed, a 55-year-old small landowner, was unable to plant wheat in 2022, as it took five months for the water to recede from his fields.

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A man stands on an elevated berm between fields. Rice is planted in one of the fields.
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Maqbool Ahmed, fearing floods, planted rice on only half his land this season. That land was inundated.

This year, Mr. Ahmed planted rice on only half of his land, fearing another flood. His fears were justified — the monsoon rains have once again inundated his crop.

“In this uncertain weather, landlords and farmers cannot cultivate anything,” he said. “It will only lead to more losses.” Mr. Ahmed, like many other farmers, has taken on crushing debt after their homes and farmland suffered damage.

Many families have still not returned after being displaced by the 2022 floods. Tens of thousands are living in precarious conditions in the slums of Karachi, an already overcrowded port city of more than 20 million people.

These displaced families, once rooted in rural life and farming, are struggling to adapt to unpredictable city life.

Masooda, a 35-year-old mother of three, is sharing a cramped rented house in Karachi with two other displaced families, paying $53 a month for rent and electricity. Her family’s home in Dadu, built of mud and straw, was swept away two years ago.

Despite the hardships, Masooda expressed gratitude for the livelihood, however tenuous, that Karachi offers. Her husband, whose eyesight has deteriorated, earns about $2 a day by cobbling shoes with the help of their 5-year-old son.

“At least here, my husband can work and we have a roof over our heads,” she said. “That’s more than we would have if we went back.”

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Different lines are stained into the wall of a classroom. Part of the wall is painted with a green triangle, with an orange border.
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Stains on a classroom wall showed how high floodwaters reached in 2022.

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kmaherali
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Re: Weather Related

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It’s Been the Hottest Summer on Record, European Officials Say

The excessive heat worldwide suggests the full year will also be a record-breaker, according to Copernicus, the E.U. agency that tracks global warming.

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Las Vegas has seen a particularly hot summer season.Credit...Wade Vandervort/Las Vegas Sun, via Associated Press

The summer of “brat,” the Paris Olympics and political conventions may be winding down, but the heat in 2024 is still going strong.

The southwestern United States’ sizzling triple-digit temperatures this week mark the tail end of the hottest summer on record, according to a new European climate report.

“We know that the warming of the planet leads to more intense and extreme climate events, and what we’ve seen this summer has been no exception,” said Julien Nicolas, a climatologist with the Copernicus Climate Change Service, the European Union agency that published the assessment on Wednesday.

Since 2018, the agency has been combining data like weather observations from balloons and satellites with computer models that simulate temperature and precipitation to get a picture of what’s happening around the world. It pairs that picture with past weather conditions reconstructed back to 1940 to compute a global average temperature.

June and August were the hottest June and August on record, according to the models, while July is not quite as clear.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, based in the United States, found that this July was three-hundredths of a Celsius degree hotter than July 2023, while Copernicus determined it was a few hundredths of a degree cooler than last year. For all practical purposes, that created a virtual tie, according to Karin Gleason of NOAA, speaking recently about her department’s findings.

“There are times when all the different data sets have a slightly different statistic,” Ms. Gleason said, referring to the discrepancy between NOAA and Copernicus data. “But they’re all saying essentially the same thing. We’re at or near record pace.”

That led the planet to the hottest day on record this July. And all of these records combined to increase the likelihood that 2024 will become the hottest year ever, Copernicus said.

That heat increases the likelihood of extreme weather events like heat waves, heavy rainfall and flooding, and wildfires. Last year, Canadian wildfires were so expansive that they released more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere than all but three countries: the United States, China and India.


//Have Climate Questions? Get Answers Here. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... latedLinks
//What’s causing global warming? How can we fix it? This interactive F.A.Q. will tackle your climate questions big and small.

“We have extreme heat and record-breaking precipitation events in too many places to list,” said Daniel Swain, a climate scientist at the University of California, Los Angeles and the National Center for Atmospheric Research.

“In the areas that have been hardest hit this summer, I wouldn’t be surprised if the number of heat-related deaths also increased,” said Jeffrey Howard, an associate professor in public health at the University of Texas at San Antonio, who analyzed data showing heat-related deaths had doubled in the United States in recent decades.

The Copernicus report also noted that August was the 13th out of 14 months in which global temperatures had climbed 1.5 degrees Celsius, or 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit, beyond preindustrial average temperatures for that period, a threshold set by the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement.

While it’s only a temporary breach, scientists are debating right now how to assess when and how they would determine that the world had surpassed the 1.5-degree milestone long enough or often enough to determine a trend.

“It’s up to the scientific community to determine when and how we’d know we’ve reached 1.5 degree Celsius as a long-term average,” Dr. Nicolas said. Typically, such a change would be monitored over a period of 20 to 30 years, but computer-model projections might make it possible to determine that change earlier, he said.

“We’re talking about ecosystem change on a global scale that’s going to affect all of us,” said Ashley Ward, director of the Heat Policy Innovation Hub at Duke University. “Our energy systems, built environment, and medical services were never built with this type of temperature regime in mind.”

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kmaherali
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Re: Weather Related

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Climate Change Can Cause Bridges to ‘Fall Apart Like Tinkertoys,’ Experts Say

Extreme heat and flooding are accelerating the deterioration of bridges, engineers say, posing a quiet but growing threat.

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The Third Avenue Bridge, connecting Manhattan and the Bronx over the Harlem River. Earlier this summer, extreme heat caused a joint to expand and the bridge was stuck in its open position for hours.Credit...Graham Dickie/The New York Times

On a 95-degree day this summer, New York City’s Third Avenue Bridge, connecting the Bronx and Manhattan, got stuck in the open position for hours. As heat and flooding scorched and scoured the Midwest, a steel railroad bridge connecting Iowa with South Dakota collapsed under surging waters. In Lewiston, Maine, a bridge closed after the pavement buckled from fluctuating temperatures.

America’s bridges, a quarter of which were built before 1960, were already in need of repair. But now, extreme heat and increased flooding linked to climate change are accelerating the disintegration of the nation’s bridges, engineers say, essentially causing them to age prematurely.

The result is a quiet but growing threat to the safe movement of people and goods around the country, and another example of how climate change is reshaping daily life in ways Americans may not realize.

“We have a bridge crisis that is specifically tied to extreme weather events,” said Paul Chinowsky, a professor of civil engineering at the University of Colorado Boulder who researches the effects of climate change on infrastructure. “These are not things that would happen under normal climate circumstances. These are not things that we’ve ever seen at this rate.”

Bridges designed and built decades ago with materials not intended to withstand sharp temperature swings are now rapidly swelling and contracting, leaving them weakened.

“It’s getting so hot that the pieces that hold the concrete and steel, those bridges can literally fall apart like Tinkertoys,” Dr. Chinowsky said.

As temperatures reached the hottest in recorded history this year, much of the nation’s infrastructure, from highways to runways, has suffered. But bridges face particular risks.

“With bridges, you’re working with infrastructure that may have been planned, designed and built decades ago,” Pete Buttigieg, the transportation secretary, said in an interview. “It’s one of the forms of infrastructure that takes the longest to update or refresh. And yet we’re seeing those vulnerabilities everywhere across the country.”

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A brown metal bridge is partially collapsed into rough brown waters.
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A bridge connecting North Sioux City, S.D., and Sioux City, Iowa, collapsed in June after flooding. Credit...KC McGinnis for The New York Times

A study in the journal PLOS ONE found that extreme temperatures resulting from climate change could cause one in four steel bridges in the United States to collapse by 2050. By 2040, failures caused by extreme heat could require widespread bridge repairs and closures, the researchers found.

Another study found that exposure to new levels of extreme heat is causing the pavement on American bridges to buckle. Meanwhile, heavy precipitation linked to climate change is increasing the phenomenon of “bridge scour,” the erosion of soil sediment around bridge foundations that is the leading cause of bridge failure in the United States, studies show.

Troubled bridges are already starting to affect supply chains and the cost of goods. In 2022, a 30-foot section of bridge on the California-Arizona border of Interstate 10, along a major trucking route from Phoenix to the port of Los Angeles, was swept away during record rainfall. That washout followed a 2015 collapse of another Interstate 10 span, the Tex Wash Bridge, during what was described at the time as a 1,000-year flood. Each closure added an estimated $2.5 million per day to trucking costs because of delays and additional fuel, according to the American Transportation Research Institute. Such bridge closures are projected to increase significantly across the country over the coming decade, engineers said.

“With a lot of these bridge closures, trucks have to reroute far more than normal. It adds anywhere from 15 to 100 miles per trip, when a trucking trip typically costs about $91 per hour,” said Dan Murray, senior vice president of the American Transportation Research Institute. “And it becomes very inflationary. We’re buying the same goods and the unexpected costs get passed on to consumers.”

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Broken asphalt is shown along the muddy banks of a river.
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The Mill Street Bridge in Plainfield, Vt., was swept away after heavy rains from the remnants of Hurricane Beryl in July.Credit...Ted Shaffrey/Associated Press

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Construction workers in yellow safety shirts and hard hats stand on steel rebar on a bridge surface.
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Construction this summer on the General John Stark Memorial Bridge between Hinsdale, N.H., and Brattleboro, Vt. It will replace two bridges to the north that have serious structural problems. Credit...Kristopher Radder/The Brattleboro Reformer, via Associated Press

Bill Minor, 50, a Walmart truck driver who delivers groceries, clothing and electronics from a terminal in Beaver Dam, Wis., to stores in the surrounding region, said he crosses the Lake Butte des Morts Bridge in Oshkosh as many as a dozen times a day. When it closed for a day in June after heat caused a joint in the approach to the bridge to expand, Mr. Minor said that the added detour and traffic meant that he made fewer deliveries and used more fuel.

“The bridge is on an interstate but the detour is country highways, so you’re driving through little towns going 25 miles an hour,” he said.

The Biden administration has sought to address the problem. The 2021 bipartisan infrastructure law allotted $110 billion for repair and construction of roads, bridges and other major transportation projects. The law included a pioneering program, PROTECT, that provides $7.3 billion divided among states to make facilities and highways more resilient to extreme weather. Another $1.4 billion in competitive grants is also available.

In Vermont, where heavy rainfall and heat have combined to damage an estimated 100 bridges over the past two years, the state is rebuilding them higher and wider, with deeper foundations and sturdier materials. And waterways below bridges are being made deeper and wider to be able to absorb more water.

But that all takes money and time. It is costing Vermont 30 to 40 percent more to build a more flood resistant bridge, said Jeremy Reed, chief engineer at the state transportation agency.

Scientists, engineers and government agencies are only now beginning to develop standards for how to build climate resilient bridges, said Jim Tymon, executive director of the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials. “We’re learning from the events that are being thrown at us, and trying to change and build for what climate change throws next, but it’s a moving target,” he said.

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Hussam Mahmoud sits at a polished wood desk. Behind him, bookshelves are filled with books and display framed diplomas.
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Hussam Mahmoud, professor of civil and environmental engineering at Colorado State University and author of the PLOS One study.Credit...Eli Imadali for The New York Times

In 2018, Colorado became one of the first states to consider the effects of climate change as it planned its roads and bridges. After a 2013 flood damaged roughly 500 miles of road and 50 bridges in the state, requiring more than $700 million in emergency repairs, the state transportation commission required climate resilience in bridge and road construction.

The state asked Hussam Mahmoud, a civil engineer and professor at Colorado State University, to examine increased deterioration and stress in the joints of the state’s steel bridges. “What we saw was drastic,” Dr. Mahmoud said.

For decades, bridge surfaces have been zippered together with fork-teethed expansion joints, embedded into steel and pavement to accommodate normal swelling and contraction with heat and cold.

But because of extreme spikes in heat linked to climate change, the joints were swelling more, and more frequently, said Dr. Mahmoud. The problem worsened as overheated joints expanded tightly around the highway debris that typically collects between them. “Once this happens, the bridge can become permanently damaged,” he said. “The steel deforms and twists, the deck cracks, and moisture goes through it and it causes corrosion.”

Swollen joints cause other problems. Steel bridges are designed to gently bend to accommodate heavy loads, but clogged joints keep beams stiff, failing to spread out the load from large trucks.

“That means the beams in the bridge are carrying much more weight than they were designed for,” Dr. Mahmoud said.

Age is usually one of the best predictors of bridge fragility. Engineers generally prioritize bridges for repair and replacement once they are past 50 years old.

So Dr. Mahmoud was surprised to find that some Colorado bridges in the worst shape included an 18-year-old bridge over Riverside Canal in Morgan County, a 29-year-old bridge on County Road 501 through Pueblo County, and a 10-year-old bridge on County Road 17 over the Otero Canal in Otero County.

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A bridge over a narrow waterway that is lined by grassy banks on either side.
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A bridge over the Otero Canal in Colorado, one of the newer bridges cited by Dr. Mahmoud as being in the worst shape.Credit...Eli Imadali for The New York Times

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The foundation of a bridge looks to be made from metal and concrete.
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The bridge on County Road 501 through Pueblo County in Colorado is 29 years old.Credit...Eli Imadali for The New York Times

All of these bridges were deemed in “good” or “satisfactory” condition by the Federal Highway Administration’s National Bridge Inventory based on inspections between 2020 and 2022.

Colorado transportation officials say that, while they now take such research into account as they prioritize what bridges to repair, the state doesn’t have the funding for all those improvements. Under the infrastructure law, the state receives $45 million a year in federal funds for bridge repair and is getting $98 million a year from the PROTECT program to help make all of its infrastructure more climate resilient, both through 2026.

State officials estimate that Colorado probably needs more than five times as much annually. “Realistically, we know that’s not going to happen,” said William Johnson, who leads climate resilience programs for the Colorado Department of Transportation. “We can’t replace everything tomorrow to be more resilient, but we are building climate change into the process.”

Dr. Mahmoud expanded his research across the country, using details from the National Bridge Inventory to model the impact of climate change on the beams, decks and girders of 80,000 steel bridges. He found the bridges most at risk were in the Northern Rockies and Plains, the upper Midwest, the Ohio Valley and the South. He also found that smaller bridges, with smaller beams, were more vulnerable to damage, since they are already made to accommodate lighter loads.

The bridges in Dr. Mahmoud’s database include 1,357 steel bridges in Oklahoma and 575 bridges in North Dakota, among them a 25-year-old bridge over the North Branch Goose River in Traill County, N.D., a 16-year-old bridge on a county highway through Grand Forks County, N.D., and an 11-year-old bridge on E0220 road in Grant County, Okla.

“These bridges in these states were designed according to code,” said Dr. Mahmoud. But because of the unplanned damage induced by climate change, he said, “we will see the beams on these bridges twisting, concrete coming off, and bridges closing.”

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A simple bridge over a modest waterway, connecting flat expanses of grassy land.
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An 18-year-old bridge over Riverside Canal in Morgan County, Colo. Dr. Mahmoud found that smaller bridges, with smaller beams, were more vulnerable to damage, since they are already made to accommodate lighter loads.Credit...Eli Imadali for The New York Times

Jason Thorenson, the North Dakota state bridge engineer, said he did not agree that the North Dakota bridges cited by Dr. Mahmoud are at risk. The state receives about $45 million a year from the PROTECT program, he said, “but I wouldn’t say we use that money to address any sort of climate change, because I can’t say we’re really seeing that.”

Tim Gatz, deputy director of the Oklahoma Department of Transportation, said cold as well as heat can stress roads and bridges. “We have always had a very wide range of weather conditions,” he said. “Sometimes extreme cold and sometimes extreme heat.”

Studies show that climate change has caused more rapid shifts between extreme heat and cold, said Royce Floyd, a professor of engineering at the University of Oklahoma. Those seesawing temperatures can cause pavement to squeeze from both sides onto a span, forcing the road and steel to buckle or crack, or even pushing steel beams out of alignment, Dr. Floyd found.

That’s what happened to at least three major bridges in Oklahoma in recent years, he said. The bridges have since been repaired — without taking into account studies that show the current and future impacts of climate change. But failing to make them hardier means that the buckling could return, Dr. Floyd said.

“If you don’t plan for climate change then you’re going to end up with the same problems again,” he said.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/02/clim ... 778d3e6de3
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Re: Weather Related

Post by kmaherali »

Kuwait Is Awash in Oil Money. But It Can’t Keep the Power On.

The Persian Gulf nation has instituted rolling blackouts to cope with surging summer electricity demand, stirring frustration among citizens.

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Power lines in Kuwait City in June. The Ministry of Electricity, Water and Renewable Energy has increased scheduled power cuts as summer temperatures have soared.Credit...Yasser Al-Zayyat/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Kuwait, perched atop around 6 percent of global oil reserves, is one of the world’s wealthiest states and a major energy exporter.

But in June, as soaring temperatures strained the country’s electrical grid, a Kuwaiti elementary school teacher, Shaikha al-Shammari, found herself leading lessons in the dark when the power suddenly cut out. Last month, she went home to find her own children struggling to cope after the electricity went out there, too, shutting off the air-conditioning.

And Mishari al-Olyan, 40, a lawyer, said the rolling blackouts that the government had resorted to recently as electricity demand surged were a “catastrophe.” His father needs an oxygen tank to breathe — and the tank needs electricity to operate, he said. So now he makes sure he has a spare machine charged and ready.

“Since when does a country like Kuwait have electricity cuts?” he asked.

The country’s power problems have many causes. As the planet warms, soaring demand has outpaced the capacity of the existing electrical grid, while bureaucratic delays have stymied efforts to expand it. Kuwait has also largely shifted away from burning oil to generate power — a more polluting method — in favor of natural gas. And since the country produces relatively little natural gas, it needs to import it.

The blackouts in Kuwait this summer underscore the challenges that even affluent countries in the region face as climate change reorders life across the Middle East. In April, heavy rains caused severe flooding in Dubai, wreaking havoc at its international airport. And in June, heat waves contributed to the deaths of more than 1,300 people making the annual hajj pilgrimage in Saudi Arabia.

Summer blackouts are not new in Kuwait; they have occurred regularly since 2006. But this year, the Ministry of Electricity, Water and Renewable Energy has increased scheduled power cuts, and Kuwaitis say it feels like the electricity is going out more often.

On Aug. 18, the ministry warned that cuts would happen in several neighborhoods across the country and asked people to conserve energy during the peak hours of 11 a.m. to 5 p.m. It blamed those cuts on a “fuel supply disruption” for natural gas. And in a statement this summer, the ministry attributed outages in June to “the inability of power generation stations to meet the increasing demand during peak times, compounded by higher temperatures compared to previous years.”

In late August, the ministry said Kuwait had recorded its highest electrical load in history as temperatures reached 50 degrees Celsius, or more than 120 degrees Fahrenheit, aggravated by high humidity along the coast.

“Just walking out of the house is difficult,” said Ms. al-Shammari, 31.

Sarah Hashem Ibrahim, 34, a middle school teacher, said she had noticed her students increasingly affected by the heat, finding it more difficult to concentrate.

“When it’s so hot and the electricity is out, your whole life stops,” she said. “Even just basic daily tasks you can’t do anymore.”

The Persian Gulf nation is one of the world’s largest oil exporters and has a $980 billion sovereign wealth fund. Yet its citizens often complain of government mismanagement. In a recent report, AlShall, a business consultancy, blamed the power cuts on disorganized public administration rather than on a financial deficit or fuel shortage, pointing out that there have been 14 electricity ministers over the past 10 years, two of whom served twice.

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An aerial view shows clouds among skyscrapers in a large city.
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Kuwait City in December. Kuwait is one of the world’s largest oil exporters and has a $980 billion sovereign wealth fund.Credit...Yasser Al-Zayyat/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

And for decades, experts have warned of a looming energy crisis in Kuwait, citing delays in building power plants to keep pace with rising demand.

“In a country like Kuwait, which has all the capabilities that make it among the advanced countries, when the electricity cuts off in the hot summer, you know that there is a flaw in the planning,” Yousef al-Zalzalah, a former minister and a former member of Parliament, wrote on social media.

But even in gulf countries like the United Arab Emirates and Qatar — which have smoother-moving bureaucracies and have managed to avoid widespread power outages — governments have been unable to insulate their people fully from the effects of climate change.

Emissions from fossil fuels, resources that have made their states rich, are the main drivers of global warming, to which the region is particularly vulnerable. Air pollution and scorching temperatures degrade the health of migrant workers whose jobs often expose them to the elements, force citizens indoors and, for the wealthiest, prompt a seasonal exodus to cooler climes in Europe and North America.

Kuwait relies mainly on natural gas for electricity generation, and its consumption per capita increased 16 percent from 2000 to 2021, according to the International Energy Agency.

Last month Kuwait Petroleum Corporation announced that it had secured a 15-year supply of liquefied natural gas from Qatar, building on other such deals.

Still, many Kuwaitis fear that the problem will only get worse as time goes on.

“The population is increasing, therefore electricity consumption is also increasing — of course we are going to see more power cuts,” said Sami al-Ajmi, 42, a state oil refining company employee. “The government is trying to do their best, but we haven’t seen any solutions yet.”

Ismaeel Naar contributed reporting from Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

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Re: Weather Related

Post by kmaherali »

Typhoon Yagi Weakens After Killing 49 in Vietnam

The storm was downgraded to a tropical depression after churning across the country’s north. It left at least 24 dead in China and the Philippines last week.

Video: https://nyti.ms/47r1Ktt
Typhoon Yagi, one of the most powerful storms to hit northern Vietnam, left a trail of destruction from floods and landslides.

At least 49 people were killed and more than 700 injured as Typhoon Yagi carved a path of destruction through northern Vietnam over the weekend, the country’s state media reported on Monday.

The storm, one of the most powerful of 2024, made landfall on Saturday in the coastal province of Quang Ninh with winds of up to 127 miles per hour, equivalent to those of a Category 3 hurricane. It triggered deadly landslides, flooded towns and blew roofs off homes, local media reported, before weakening into a tropical depression by Sunday morning.

Last week, Yagi smashed into the Philippines, where it killed at least 20 people, before claiming four more lives in southern China and causing about a million people to flee their homes.

By Monday night, at least 49 people had been killed and 22 people were missing across northern Vietnam, the Department of Dyke Management and Natural Disaster Prevention and Control said, according to state-run media. That included six people, including an infant and a one-year-old child, who died after a landslide swept through a residential area in the mountainous province of Lao Cai, near Vietnam’s northern border with China, the state-run Vietnam News agency reported.

Another four people from one family died in a landslide in Hoa Binh Province, about 20 miles southwest of Hanoi, the capital, state media said.

As the storm moved inland across Vietnam’s mountainous northwest, rainfall led to flooding in several provinces and forced thousands to evacuate, state media said. On Monday morning, part of a bridge connecting the districts of Lam Thao and Tam Nong was swept away by floodwaters, the Vietnam News agency said. Three people were injured in the collapse and eight people were missing, the government said.

In Hanoi, where at least one person was killed, the storm flooded streets, damaged roofs and caused widespread power outages, Vietnam News reported. It toppled thousands of trees, including some of the city’s oldest trees, which were considered landmarks, state media said.

At least 732 people were injured as a result of the storm, many of them in Quang Ninh, the government said. At least 46,500 homes were damaged, and hundreds of thousands of acres of crops, including rice and fruit trees, were damaged or flooded, it said.

Typhoon Yagi

‘Out of a Horror Movie:’ Typhoon Yagi Makes Landfall in Vietnam https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/07/worl ... latedLinks
Sept. 7, 2024

Typhoon Yagi Expected to Strengthen Before Hitting Vietnam https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/06/worl ... latedLinks
Sept. 6, 2024

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Sept. 5, 2024

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/09/us/t ... 778d3e6de3
kmaherali
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Re: Weather Related

Post by kmaherali »

Dam collapse in Nigeria sweeps deadly reptiles into flooded communities

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Houses are partially submerged following a dam collapse in Maiduguri, Nigeria, Tuesday, Sept 10, 2024. (AP Photos/ Musa Ajit Borno)

ABUJA, Nigeria (AP) — A dam collapsed Tuesday in northeastern Nigeria unleashing severe flooding that prompted evacuations and swept deadly reptiles from a zoo into communities in the area, local officials and a zoo manager said.

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People walk through floodwaters following a dam collapse in Maiduguri, Nigeria, Tuesday Sept 10, 2024. (AP Photos/ Joshua Olatunji)

The collapse of the Alau dam in the state of Borno caused some of the state's worst flooding since the same dam collapsed 30 years ago, and prompted many residents to flee their homes. The dam was at full capacity due to unusually high rains, according to the state government.

About 15% of the Borno state capital Maiduguri was under water, Nahum Daso, the state’s police spokesperson told The Associated Press. No death toll from the flooding has been released yet.

At the Borno State Museum Park, the flooding killed about 80% of the animals while an unspecified number of reptiles escaped, zoo general manager Ali Abatcha Don Best said.

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People walk through floodwaters following a dam collapse in Maiduguri, Nigeria, Tuesday Sept 10, 2024. (AP Photos/ Joshua Olatunji)
© The Associated Press

“Some deadly animals have been washed away into our communities, animals like crocodiles and snakes,” the zoo manager said.

The local authorities issued a flooding alert and an immediate evacuation order for residents close to river banks, Usman Tar, Borno’s commissioner for information and internal security said. All schools in the state will close for the next two weeks, he added.

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People walk through floodwaters following a dam collapse in Maiduguri, Nigeria, Tuesday Sept 10, 2024. (AP Photos/ Joshua Olatunji)
© The Associated Press

The dam collapse is compounding a humanitarian crisis in Borno over the past decade due to the activities of Boko Haram insurgents. The insurgency, which has spilled across borders around Lake Chad, has killed more than 35,000 people, displaced 2.6 million others in the country’s north-east region.

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People walk through floodwaters following a dam collapse in Maiduguri, Nigeria, Tuesday Sept 10, 2024. (AP Photos/ Joshua Olatunji)
© The Associated Press

Boko Haram, with one branch allied to the Islamic State group, wants to install an Islamic state in Nigeria, West Africa’s oil giant of 170 million people divided almost equally between a mainly Christian south and a predominantly Muslim north.

Earlier this year, at least 18 people were killed by suicide bombers in a coordinated attack targeting a wedding, a funeral and a hospital in Borno.

Dyepkazah Shibayan, The Associated Press

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Houses are partially submerged following a dam collapse in Maiduguri, Nigeria, Tuesday, Sept 10, 2024. (AP Photos/ Musa Ajit Borno)


https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/da ... aeb9&ei=50
kmaherali
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Joined: Thu Mar 27, 2003 3:01 pm

The Climate Peril We Overlook

Post by kmaherali »

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Our planet has just endured its hottest summer on record, with 2024 on track likewise to become the hottest year since recordkeeping began.

We see the impact of this heating in thousands of ways: The city of Phoenix this year endured 100 days of 100 degrees or hotter; some 1,300 Hajj pilgrims in Saudi Arabia reportedly died in the heat; Arctic ice is shrinking and far below average; and in some places monkeys and bats have tumbled out of trees from the heat.

We tend to focus on the cataclysmic risks of climate change — polar ice caps melting, seas rising dramatically, our planet becoming uninhabitable — and those are real. But over the last couple of decades we’ve accumulated evidence that the more mundane impacts of heat are already upon us, impacting our daily lives. For example, more people fall off ladders on hot days than on cool days. They are more likely to kill themselves. They are also more likely to kill someone else.

Meanwhile, students learn less on hot days. They perform worse on exams. After a natural disaster, students are less likely to go to college. In other words, extreme weather damages far more than property, for it also is devastating to human capital.

“The familiar climate catastrophe framing may be missing some of the most important features of the real climate change story,” R. Jisung Park, an economist at the University of Pennsylvania, notes in his excellent recent book, “Slow Burn.”

Professor Park argues persuasively that we have been so focused on apocalyptic scenarios that we haven’t focused enough on the other consequences of climate change.

Unless we do more to address the impact on education, hotter temperatures may reduce student learning in the United States by about 10 percent over the course of a year, Park’s research finds. Because Black and Latino students disproportionately live in hotter parts of the country and attend schools with less air-conditioning, rising temperatures appear to magnify the learning gap, Park says.

Then there are forest fires. We focus on the immediate damage caused by fires, such as the 20 to 30 people who die in America from wildfires in a typical year. But wildfires linked to climate change are exposing more people to smoke that may claim far more lives.

Air pollution already is linked to an estimated seven million deaths globally each year, mostly by contributing to heart disease, respiratory diseases and cancer. Researchers estimate that in the United States, wildfire smoke claims 5,000 to 15,000 lives each year — yet these deaths don’t get attention because there is no dramatic footage of flames to frighten us. People may think that their loved ones died of heart disease or old age, but another factor may have been climate change.

Climate change may influence crime as well, for researchers find that murder, aggravated assault and rape all are more common when the mercury rises. One researcher estimated that the increase in temperatures because of climate change may lead to 1.6 million additional cases of aggravated assault and 200,000 additional rapes in the United States over this century.

We also know that hotter temperatures impair our productivity. A naval officer makes an average of 11 or 12 mistakes per hour in translating Morse code when the temperature is between 85 and 90 degrees, a British study found, but 95 mistakes per hour when the temperature rises to 105 degrees.

Even professional athletes are affected. One study looked at how tennis players do when temperatures rise. When it is 95 degrees, the likelihood of a double fault increases, and rallies are shorter.

Yet always remember that climate is complicated.

A dozen years ago, scientists worried that the earth might heat by 4 degrees Celsius by the year 2100, compared with the pre-industrial period, while it now seems more likely that the increase may be around 2.5 degrees or less (which is still deadly and utterly intolerable).

In addition, the scholar and writer Bjorn Lomborg correctly notes that many more Americans die from cold than from heat. So rising temperatures could plausibly lead to a net drop in American deaths. At a global level, though, Park told me that he would expect that “unabated climate change will lead to very significant increases in mortality.”

My take is that we should embrace the nuance. We don’t need to hype the risks or conjure nightmares, for we now have abundant evidence that even at current levels of warming we are doing great damage to our species (not to mention to the monkeys and bats falling down on us).

I’ve written my share of apocalyptic pieces about climate, from “methane burps” to the acidification of seas dissolving some plankton that are the basis of the food chain. These are legitimate concerns. But doomsday scenarios haven’t brought us to our senses, and we shouldn’t let them distract us from the immediate challenge: If we let warming continue, more people will be victimized by crime, children will learn less, and more of us will slip off ladders.

More on heat and climate change

Opinion | R. Jisung Park
We Don’t See What Climate Change Is Doing to Us https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/16/opin ... latedLinks
April 16, 2024

Opinion | Eric Klinenberg
The Killer Climate Disaster That Has No Name https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/07/opin ... latedLinks
Sept. 7, 2024

Opinion | Stan Cox
I Swore Off Air-Conditioning, and You Can, Too https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/31/opin ... latedLinks
Aug. 31, 2024

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kmaherali
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Re: Weather Related

Post by kmaherali »

'Catastrophic' moment entire town is submerged in water after dam bursts

At least six people have died as dams fail to hold back floodwaters in eastern Europe.

Brown waters have been filmed carrying debris half a storey high as they gush through towns and villages in the country’s south west.

Aerial footage shows entire settlements submerged.

This includes the Kłodzko Valley, where the first death by drowning was confirmed by Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk this morning.

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Dams have been overwhelmed by the volume of rain (Picture: Reuters)

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Flash floods have submerged entire floors of people’s homes (Picture: Petr David Josek/AP)

One person who filmed flooding in Stronie Śląskie, a town near the Czech border, said: ‘A catastrophic hydrological situation with an overflowing and damaged retention reservoir nearby.’

At least four people were killed in Romania, and a firefighter has died in Austria while responding to the flash floods submerging much of central and eastern Europe.
One man is missing after being washed away in Czechia where another dam burst and three people in a car were swept into a river.

The deluges were sparked by the torrential rains of Storm Boris.

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Roughly 5,000 homes were flooded in Romania’s Galati region alone, sparking massive evacuation efforts (Picture: Daniel Mihailesco/AFP via Getty Images)

It’s damaged thousands of homes across Austria, Czechia, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania.

Rescue teams have had to evacuate and rescue thousands of people trapped by flooding in the worst affected areas.

It is a ‘catastrophe of epic proportions’, according to Emil Dragomir, mayor of Slobozia Conachi, a village in eastern Romania, where 700 homes were flooded.

Romania’s President Klaus Iohannis said: ‘We are again facing the effects of climate change, which are increasingly present on the European continent, with dramatic consequences.’

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/world/ca ... a4b2&ei=22
kmaherali
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Re: Weather Related

Post by kmaherali »

‘Water Is Coming.’ Floods Devastate West and Central Africa

Flooding caused by heavy rains has left more than 1,000 people dead and hundreds of thousands of homes destroyed.

Video: https://nyti.ms/3Xv6YQr
Nearly one million people have been forced to flee their homes after floods devastated towns across western and central Africa, humanitarian agencies said.CreditCredit...Musa Ajit Borno/Associated Press

Aishatu Bunu, an elementary schoolteacher in Maiduguri, a city in Nigeria’s northeast, woke up at 5 a.m. to the sound of her neighbors shouting.

When she opened her front door, she was greeted by the sight of rising waters outside. “We saw — water is coming,” Ms. Bunu said.

In a panic, she and her three young children grabbed some clothes and her educational certificates and fled their home into waters that quickly became chest high, eventually finding temporary shelter at a gas station.

Ms. Bunu was speaking on Friday from the bed of a truck that she managed to board with her children after several days of sheltering at various sites across the flood-stricken city. The floodwaters inundated Maiduguri early last week after heavy rainfall caused a nearby dam to overflow.

Flooding caused by the rain has devastated cities and towns across west and central Africa in recent days, leaving more than 1,000 people dead and hundreds of thousands of homes destroyed. Up to four million people have been affected by the floods and nearly one million forced to flee their homes, according to humanitarian agencies.

The exact number of deaths has been difficult to tally given the scale of the disaster, and the officially reported figures are not up-to-date. In Nigeria, the authorities said that at least 200 people had died, but that was before the floods hit Maiduguri, which has added at least 30 people to that toll. In Niger, more than 265 have been reported dead. In Chad, 487 people had lost their lives as of last week. In Mali, which is facing its worst floods since the 1960s, 55 died.

ImagePeople on and around a boat in floodwaters.
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A rescue in a military boat through floodwater in Maiduguri, on Thursday.Credit...Audu Marte/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

The first night after they fled their home, Ms. Bunu said she and her children, Zara, Ahmed and Fatima, slept in a gas station. The next morning, they sought shelter in the grounds of a research institute, where they stayed for two days, sleeping in the open, surrounded by water.

Apart from a few peanuts, they had no food. Ms. Bunu said she did not think she would survive.

Scenes of devastation could be seen across Maiduguri on Friday. Dead people and animals floated past. People were trapped in schools and on rooftops. Some slept on the highway.

Over the weekend, many people were rescued across the city after being trapped by the floodwaters for days. The ground floor of the main hospital was submerged, destroying vital equipment, samples and the polio laboratory.

Rising waters swept crocodiles and deadly snakes out of the zoo and into communities, while 80 percent of the zoo’s animals drowned, according to a statement from Ali Don Best, the general manager of the Borno State Museum Park, where the zoo is.

In Nigeria and in most of the region, the floods are hitting communities already racked by conflict, displacement and poverty. Even worse flooding is forecast for later in the year.

Although Africa produces only a fraction of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions, Africans bear an exceptionally heavy burden from climate change, according to the World Meteorological Organization.

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People carrying their personal belongings on the back of a vehicle.
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Carrying salvaged belongings in Maiduguri, on Tuesday.Credit...Audu Marte/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

And adapting to it will cost sub-Saharan Africa $30 billion to $50 billion annually over the next decade, or 2 to 3 percent of the region’s gross domestic product, it said.

“The impact of climate change is what we’re witnessing right now,” said Olasunkanmi Okunola, a scientist whose study focuses on flood risk management and climate adaptation. “There’s no way we can prevent major disasters from happening, but there are steps we can take to lessen the effect.”

He pointed to early warning systems and improving countries’ infrastructure, like drainage systems and roads.

In the Sahel, the arid strip just south of the Sahara, the problem is not usually an abundance of water, but lack of it. Decades of desertification and multiple failed rainy seasons have frequently led to drought.

That is the case in Zinder, a city in southern Niger, where last week a treasured historic mosque caved in as a result of heavy rains, captured in a resident’s video.

“The collapse is a tragedy for all Muslims in Niger and around the world,” said Macky Rabiou, an imam at the mosque, which was built in 1810.

Everybody in Zinder was grief-stricken, said Hakimin Fada, a worshiper at the mosque whose parents and grandparents had also prayed there.

“No one slept without feeling the pain,” he said. “Although we acknowledge it as Allah’s destiny, and we have to accept destiny, we can’t help but feel profound sadness.”

In neighboring Mali, Mariam Diallo, a housekeeper, said her family had spent nights trying to empty their house of water. They protected the grain they had for food, but “the water took all our shoes,” she said.

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People wading through floodwaters in front of a large mosque.
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In Maiduguri and most of the region, the floods are hitting communities already racked by conflict, displacement and poverty. Credit...Joshua Olatunji/Associated Press

Baba Faradji N’Diaye, an environmental expert based in Mali’s capital, Bamako, said people had built everywhere, including in the river beds.

“Of course, it’s a natural disaster, but it’s also happened because of anarchic practices,” he said. And the problem will only increase as the city’s population does, he said.

“Everyone wants to move to Bamako,” he said.

In Nigeria and across the region, there is a severe lack of funding to deal with the immense humanitarian crisis. In Nigeria, for instance, the United Nations has less than half of the $927 million it says it needs to save lives by providing food and clean water, and preventing disease.

As the floods lingered in Maiduguri, the only two bridges that link the city’s eastern and western halves began to make strange noises. Cracks appeared.

Then, on Thursday one bridge collapsed, followed by the other on Friday, splitting the city in half with no access from one side to the other.

Half of Maiduguri is now underwater.

Friends and family members are trying to rescue one another, using canoes or trucks to access cutoff areas.

Ms. Bunu, the teacher, and her children were on one of those trucks on Friday, along with dozens of other women and children. They were all famished, having eaten barely anything since the floods hit.

As the truck made its way out of the waterlogged area in the pouring rain, a member of Nigeria’s House of Representatives threw two loaves of bread to the people in the truck.

The women split the loaves among the children, giving each child a few mouthfuls.

From her spot on the bed of the truck, Ms. Bunu’s head was bowed in thought. Occasionally, she looked up at the sky. She had no idea how her daughters from a previous marriage, who were staying with her sister, had fared. She tried calling but couldn’t get through.

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An aerial view of people lining up next to undergrowth on the side of a road.
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Lining up to give personal information to relief officials in Maiduguri, on Tuesday.Credit...Audu Marte/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
And the flood had swallowed the family’s means of survival — their sheep, goats and chickens — as well as every household item they possessed.

“I don’t have anything now,” she said.

When they finally reached a camp, a nongovernmental organization gave them some water and food: half a can of sardines and half a loaf of bread per person.

It wasn’t clear what would happen next.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/15/worl ... 778d3e6de3

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Shanghai Is Hit by Strongest Typhoon in Decades and Comes to a Standstill

The city canceled all flights at its two airports and closed major attractions, amid a three-day national holiday.

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Typhoon Bebinca, which logged winds around 94 miles per hour near its center, felled trees and billboards in Shanghai. Credit...Hector Retamal/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Typhoon Bebinca, the strongest storm to hit Shanghai since 1949, made landfall on Monday, bringing the financial hub to a virtual standstill.

All flights out of the city’s two airports after 8 p.m. on Sunday were canceled, major attractions such as Disneyland were closed, and several high-speed train routes were temporarily shut down.

The storm, which felled trees and billboards, logged winds around 94 miles per hour near its center. Videos on social media showed buildings with siding ripped off and electric poles uprooted.

Shanghai’s meteorological observatory said that some parts of the city had seen almost 3 inches of rainfall in one hour on Monday morning.

Shanghai is rarely directly affected by typhoons, which usually hit further south. Officials predicted that the storm would weaken by this evening and move westward.

5-day chance of
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Source: National Hurricane Center All times on the map are China Standard Time. Map shows probabilities of at least 5 percent. The forecast is for up to five days, with that time span starting up to three hours before the reported time that the storm reaches its latest location. Wind speed probability data is not available north of 60.25 degrees north latitude. By William B. Davis, John Keefe and Bea Malsky

But the timing of the storm, during China’s three-day Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, could disrupt consumer spending that the country desperately needs as its economy slows. On social media, people posted about being stuck in their hotels. Parades scheduled for a tourism festival on Sunday and Monday were canceled.

The nearby city of Suzhou, in Jiangsu Province, said it had suspended all food delivery services. Another city, Nanjing, stopped all large-scale events and outdoor construction and ordered ships not to sail on the Yangtze River.

The disruptions add to China’s broader weather challenges this year. Some regions have battled droughts and floods in quick succession, and the country also recorded its hottest July since at least 1961.

Even as Bebinca hovered over Shanghai, the city’s meteorological authorities warned that another typhoon appeared to be forming where Bebinca had originated, and could hit Shanghai and surrounding areas later this week.

Typhoon Bebinca

Tracking Typhoon Bebinca https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... latedLinks

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kmaherali
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Re: Weather Related

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What We Know About the Deadly Floods in Central Europe

At least 17 people have died and thousands have been displaced. “Relief is not expected to come before tomorrow, and more likely, the day after,” an official in Austria said.

Video: https://nyti.ms/4dVUbNT
Heavy rain caused flooding in central Europe over the weekend, killing at least 13 people. Poland was one of the most affected countries.CreditCredit...Maciej Kulczynski/EPA, via Shutterstock

At least 17 people were dead and several others missing on Monday after days of flooding in Central Europe. Thousands were displaced, and with heavy rains continuing in some places, officials feared there could be more destruction ahead.

The floodwaters have ravaged towns, destroyed bridges and breached dams since intense rainfall from Storm Boris — a slow-moving, low-pressure system — began last week. Emergency workers have made daring rescues of people and even pets as officials assessed the scale of the damage.

For some, the disaster recalled the devastating floods that struck the region in July 1997, killing more than 100 people and driving thousands of others out of their homes.

“This was a very traumatic one for Poland — the one that is remembered,” Hubert Rozyk, a spokesman for Poland’s Ministry of Climate and Environment, said of that disaster. “And in some places, the situation is even worse than in 1997.”

Here’s what we know about the destruction in some of the worst-hit countries.

Romania

ImageTwo men carrying a third, older man through chest-high floodwaters.
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Two men rescued a third from rising floodwaters in the Romanian village of Slobozia Conachi on Saturday.Credit...Daniel Mihailescu/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Seven people have died in Romania, Dr. Raed Arafat, the head of the Department for Emergency Situations in the Ministry of Internal Affairs said in a phone call on Monday.

All of the deaths occurred overnight from Friday to Saturday and all in Galati County, he said, which is on the eastern border with Moldova. A preliminary evaluation found that about 5,500 households in Galati were affected by floods. In Vaslui County, which is directly to the north, about 120 households were affected, he said.

He said it was “one of the worst floods in recent memory especially for that area.”

Romania’s environment minister, Mircea Fechet, told The Associated Press that some areas had received more than 42 gallons of rainfall per square meter. “What we are trying to do right now is save as many lives as possible,” he said.

Poland

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A flooded street scene strewn with mud and debris.
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Wreckage and flooded streets in Ladek-Zdroj, a spa town in southwestern Poland, on Sunday.Credit...Maciej Kulczynski/EPA, via Shutterstock

At least five people have died, Piotr Blaszczyk, a spokesman for the government security center, wrote in an email on Monday. He said the government had not yet confirmed if their deaths were “directly connected to the catastrophic flooding,” but that initial reports suggested that they were found in “areas severely impacted by rising water levels.”

Even though the storm has passed, “many rivers are still swollen, and water levels remain precariously high, threatening additional damage to infrastructure, homes, and agricultural land,” he wrote.

Some flood barriers held; others were breached to devastating effect. Dams have been damaged or breached, including in Stronie Slaskie, a southwestern town on the Morawka River, said Anna Szumanska, a spokeswoman for Poland’s infrastructure ministry. “Water began to flow uncontrolled,” she wrote in an email.

The ground is so saturated and the water levels are so high in some rivers that there is still a risk of further flooding, Mr. Blaszczyk said.

Polish officials were meeting on Monday to decide whether to declare a national disaster and Mr. Blaszczyk said that temporary shelters have been erected in schools and community centers. Many officials have been working for days with little rest, Mr. Rozyk, the climate ministry spokesman, said from Opole, a city in the flooded region.

“The situation is still not under control in all the places,” he said. “However, the rain stopped, so that’s good news.”

Czech Republic

David Schön, a spokesman for the Czech police, said that at least two people had been killed in the floods and 12 were missing.

He said in an email that more than 12,000 people had been evacuated in the Moravian-Silesian region, the Olomouc region and the South Moravian region, all in the east.

Austria

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The Wien river passing through Vienna, with the high brown water raging.
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The rising Wien River in Vienna on Sunday.Credit...Christian Bruna/Getty Images

At least three people have been killed in Austria, according to Paul Eidenberger, a press officer for the interior ministry. One, a volunteer firefighter, died when he slipped on the stairs while pumping water out of a basement, Mr. Eidenberger said in an email. Two older men also died, apparently after being trapped inside their homes, he said.

The flooding has affected communities throughout the country, but “the most significant problems, damage, and flooding” are in Lower Austria, the state that surrounds Vienna, he said.

Vienna, which has about two million people, has also been hard hit. Public transit has been suspended or severely restricted, and the river “has become a raging torrent — normally, it carries only a few centimeters of water,” Mr. Eidenberger wrote.

Hundreds of people have been rescued from rooftops by helicopter. Mr. Eidenberger said that tens of thousands of volunteers had been deployed across the country, about 20,000 in Lower Austria alone.

Dams are still threatening to overflow. “That’s the most difficult situation right now,” said Markus Duerauer, a liaison officer of the Lower Austrian Fire Brigade Association.

And the rain is still coming down hard. “Relief is not expected to come before tomorrow, and more likely, the day after,” Mr. Eidenberger wrote Monday morning.

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Rescue workers helping a man out of the floodwaters, with his arms around their shoulders.
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Rescue workers helped a resident of Jesenik, Czech Republic, to safety on Sunday.Credit...Gabriel Kuchta/Getty Images
Judson Jones contributed reporting.

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kmaherali
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Storm Lashes the Carolinas With Historic Amounts of Rain

Post by kmaherali »

More than a foot of rain fell on parts of North Carolina over 12 hours, catching residents, officials and forecasters by surprise.

A powerful storm system that was not quite a tropical storm dropped historic amounts of rainfall in southeastern North Carolina on Monday, forecasters said, leading to flooded businesses and collapsed roads in a region hit by Tropical Storm Debby just last month.

Despite having tropical storm force winds above 39 miles per hour, the storm fell technically short of becoming what would have been the eighth named storm of this year’s Atlantic hurricane season, Helene.

But even without the name, the hazards were the same. The storm unleashed flash flooding and wind gusts stronger than 60 m.p.h. along the North Carolina coast, forecasters with the National Hurricane Center said on Monday afternoon.

Video
Storm Pummels the Carolinas With ‘Historic Rainfall’ https://www.nytimes.com/video/us/100000 ... latedLinks

0:25

The storm system produced significant impacts on Monday, with life-threatening flash flooding reported in portions of southeastern North Carolina.CreditCredit...Renee Spencer/The Star-News, via Associated Press

Debby brought more than a foot of rain across some parts of the Carolinas in August, and forecasters did not initially expect that much rain to fall on Monday. But by early afternoon, some locations in North Carolina had already seen nearly 15 inches of rain, catching residents, officials and forecasters by surprise.

More than 18 inches of rain fell in Carolina Beach between midnight Sunday and Monday afternoon. Forecasters in Wilmington called the likelihood of that amount of rain occurring in only 12 hours a one-in-a-thousand-year event.

The National Weather Services pushed flash flood warnings for parts of Raleigh, N.C., Fayetteville, N.C. and surrounding areas issued on Monday night into Tuesday. Northern Cumberland County got about four to five inches of rain by late Monday.

Larry Ashley, a retiree in Southport, N.C., where some of the flooding and road damage took place on Monday, said the rain was unlike anything he’s seen before.

“It was like having a bucket of water dumped on you constantly,” he said.

Mayor Lynn Barbee of Carolina Beach, a town just south of Wilmington, said that many parts of his town were two to three feet underwater on Monday. Emergency teams made dozens of rescues in the area on Monday and most businesses downtown were impacted by floodwaters, the mayor said.

He added that Monday was the third major flooding event in Carolina Beach in the past few months that the town did not anticipate. He said he knew the storm would be an issue when the wind began to pick up and it sounded like a hurricane.

“We sort of feel like we’re in rainstorm alley,” Mr. Barbee said.

The fire department in Wilmington made multiple water rescues in Carolina Beach and Kure Beach, where the water was waist-deep, according to a post on its Facebook page. New Hanover County Fire Rescue said in a social media post that it saved two people trapped in a car.


Schools in New Hanover County dismissed all students early on Monday and said classes on Tuesday would be conducted remotely. Some students at Carolina Beach Elementary were taken home early on Monday by emergency vehicles when flooding began and parents were unable to reach their children, Mr. Barbee said.

Tuesday classes were canceled for schools in neighboring Brunswick County, which closed government offices on Monday because of a declared state of emergency.

WECT, a television station in Wilmington, showed footage of cars and cargo vans stuck in floodwaters, as well as road closures in the area. Several roads in Brunswick County collapsed or partially collapsed on Monday, according to posts made on Facebook by the Brunswick County Sheriff’s Office.

Officials in Southport, about 30 miles south of Wilmington, closed the roads to all incoming traffic on Monday and told residents to shelter in place at their homes or places of work, according to the city’s Facebook posts.

Chris Adams, a supervisor for Omni Electric in Wilmington, said on Monday evening that two of his work crews had been stuck moving through flooded stretches of Highway 17 in Brunswick County since 10:30 a.m. and were still unable to make it home. He said parts of the road had been washed out and some were still underwater.

“I don’t think anyone expected it to be as bad as it is,” he said.

Key things to know:

The storm system is expected to continue to move slowly inland Monday night into Tuesday, spreading heavy rain across North Carolina. On Tuesday, the remnants of the storm will move into Virginia, bringing the potential for some flooding rains across the commonwealth into Wednesday morning.

More akin to a typical storm system over the United States, the storm’s energy came from interacting air masses instead of from the rising warm, humid air of the ocean that feeds tropical cyclones.

As the storm approached land, its winds weakened below tropical storm force (39 m.p.h. or greater), prompting the hurricane center to drop the tropical storm warnings that had flanked the coast.

Recorded rainfall for last 7 days
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© Mapbox © OpenStreetMap
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Source: National Weather Service Data is as of Sept. 16 at 6:58 p.m. Eastern and covers the last 7 days. Values are in inches of water or the equivalent amount of melted snow and ice.

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kmaherali
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The Fires That Could Reshape the Amazon

Vast, diverse parts of Brazil are burning at the same time, forcing officials to rethink how to protect crucial ecosystems like the Amazon.

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A firefighter battling flames in the Brasilia National Forest of Brazil on Sept. 4.Credit...Ueslei Marcelino/Reuters

Large parts of Brazil, a country that holds over a tenth of the world’s fresh water, are on fire. They include vast areas of the Amazon rainforest and the Pantanal, the world’s largest wetlands, as well as the Cerrado grasslands and the Atlantic forests along the country’s eastern coast.

The number of fires in the country has more than doubled compared with last year, burning an area the size of Costa Rica in August alone.

Smoke covered large parts of South America this month and blackened the skies of some of the region’s biggest cities, including Buenos Aires; São Paulo, Brazil; and La Paz, Bolivia. As if that weren’t dystopian enough, black rain from the soot produced by the fires has fallen over cities in several states in Brazil in the past few days.

In much of Brazil, fire season usually peaks this time of the year, as farmers set fire to pasture and burn recently deforested plots to clear them of unwanted vegetation. But blazes have unleashed a lot more destruction this year.

Though experts say many of the fires were very likely started by humans, the abundance of dry vegetation fueled immense blazes that grew out of control in extraordinary ways.

Almost half of the fires in the Amazon burned pristine forests, according to data from Brazil’s National Institute for Space Research. That is far from typical. It means fighting deforestation in the Amazon is no longer enough to stop fires.

This matters because it shows that the fire-control practices in some of the world’s most biodiverse places are not working. And that threatens myriad forms of life, including us. The collapse of the Amazon rainforest could release the equivalent of as much as 20 years’ worth of global carbon emissions into the atmosphere.

Deforestation and fires

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Four people stand in front of a river that has partially dried up.
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The drought-depleted Madeira River, a tributary of the Amazon, in Humaita, Amazonas State, on Sept. 7.Credit...Edmar Barros/Associated Press

Deforestation is still a big problem in South America. The Cerrado grasslands, in the east of Brazil, continue to lose much of their tree cover as farmers plant soy crops that can cover areas as big as whole cities. And, while deforestation in the Amazon rainforest has slowed, it is still happening at a faster pace than the forest’s recovery rate.

Stopping deforestation should still be the priority, scientists told me. But, as the planet warms, other threats are growing.

A study from 2018 showed that, when there is drought in the Amazon, fires can increase even when deforestation goes down. That’s because drier vegetation in the form of standing trees continues to fuel the blazes.

“If fires are a direct consequence of deforestation, then a policy to fight deforestation should also be effective against fires,” said Luiz Aragão, a scientist at the space research institute and one of the authors of the study. “And what we are seeing is that it isn’t.”

Large parts of South America are under the worst category of drought. That’s partly because of natural climate patterns, such as the El Niño, which are associated with scarcer rains in the region. But global warming is probably making matters worse in the background.

Last year, scientists found that higher temperatures had made the drought in the Amazon more intense. It’s also likely that these weather patterns will change soon, as La Niña, which cools the Pacific and usually means more rain in this part of the world, sets in.

Ecosystems may change in dramatic ways

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Smoke rises over a ridge of trees.
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Part of the Brasília National Forest burning on Sept. 3.Credit...Eraldo Peres/Associated Press

Looking years ahead, the situation is unlikely to improve. Humans are still burning fossil fuels that heat up the atmosphere, so extreme droughts like the current one are likely to become more frequent, scientists say.

“Maybe 2024 is the best year of the ones that are coming, as incredible as it may seem,” said Erika Berenguer, a senior research associate at the University of Oxford. “The climate models show a big share of the biome is going to become drier.”

Brazil’s environment minister, Marina Silva, recently told senators there that “we may lose the Pantanal by the end of the century,” explaining that dwindling rain and increasing heat are huge obstacles to the wetlands’ abitity to recharge to sustainable levels.

The Amazon is very likely to transform sharply if this trend continues. The forest didn’t evolve to burn like other ecosystems such as the boreal forests, Berenguer told me. The bark on its trees is thin, unlike that of redwood trees and sequoias, so even a little fire can kill them.

The types of Amazonian plants that can grow back after fires aren’t the majestic trees we associate with the rainforest, but scrubbier ones that grow and die fast and hold a lot less planet-warming carbon in their trunks.

“What the data shows is that even 30 years after fire, the burned forest still has 25 percent less carbon than a forest that never burned,” Berenguer told me.

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A grid of six black-and-white photos of Al Roker, Jesper Brodin, Marcus Samuelsson, Roy Cooper, Jane Goodall and Vicki Hollub.
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Speakers at the Climate Forward event will include, clockwise from top left, Al Roker, Jesper Brodin, Marcus Samuelsson, Roy Cooper, Jane Goodall and Vicki Hollub.

Join us for the Times’s Climate Forward Conference
On Sept. 25, The New York Times will bring together newsmakers, innovators, activists, scientists and policymakers for an all-day live journalism event examining the actions needed to confront climate change.

Register for the livestream here. It’s free for subscribers and you’ll get an email reminder and a link to the livestream sent to you on the day of the event.

Sessions will include interviews with:

Al Roker, feature and weather anchor of the “Today” show and co-host, “3rd Hour of Today.”

Ali Zaidi, President Biden’s national climate adviser.

Jane Goodall, founder of the Jane Goodall Institute and United Nations Messenger of Peace.

Jesper Brodin, chief executive of Ingka Group, IKEA.

Kevin D. Roberts, president of The Heritage Foundation and Heritage Action for America.

Michael Oppenheimer, professor of geosciences and international affairs, Princeton University.

Michael S. Regan, administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency.

Mohamed Irfaan Ali, president of Guyana.

Muhammad Yunus, Nobel laureate and chief adviser of the government of Bangladesh.

RJ Scaringe, founder and chief executive, Rivian.

Roy Cooper, governor of North Carolina.

Ryan Gellert, chief executive of Patagonia.

Stefan Rahmstorf, professor of physics of the oceans, Potsdam University.

Vicki Hollub, president and chief executive of Occidental Petroleum.

Other climate news

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Sept. 17, 2024

U.K. to Fund ‘Small-Scale’ Outdoor Geoengineering Tests https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/13/clim ... latedLinks
Sept. 13, 2024


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kmaherali
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Re: Weather Related

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Heavy Rain in Japan Causes Deadly Flooding and Landslides

One person is dead and seven others are missing in Noto Peninsula, Japanese news media reported. The region is still recovering from a catastrophic earthquake.

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Residents survey damage after flooding due to heavy rains in Suzu, Ishikawa prefecture, on Saturday.Credit...Jiji Press/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Record rainfall in Japan’s Noto Peninsula caused deadly flooding and landslides in a region still recovering from a catastrophic earthquake earlier this year, the national broadcaster NHK reported on Sunday.

At least one person was killed and seven others are missing, NHK reported. Forecasters warned of more rain through Monday, and 100,000 people are under evacuation orders. On New Year’s Day, a powerful earthquake hit western Japan, killing more than 200 people and destroying homes and infrastructure.

The Japanese Meteorological Agency on Saturday issued an emergency heavy rain warning, the highest level of alert, for Ishikawa Prefecture, which includes Noto Peninsula. Residents’ lives were in imminent danger, the agency warned, adding that there was a high chance that a disaster had already happened in some areas.

Two cities in Ishikawa Prefecture broke rainfall records on Sunday, according to the meteorological agency. About 10.7 inches of rain fell in Wajima City in six hours, nearly double the previous record of about 5.5 inches, which was set in 2007. In the nearby Suzu City, 7.5 inches of rain fell in six hours, compared with the previous record of 5.2 inches, set in 1989.

The emergency warning was downgraded on Sunday morning, but the agency warned there would be more rain before it eased on Monday. A further three inches could fall in the Hokuriku region, which includes Ishikawa Prefecture, by the end of Sunday, the agency said, while parts of southern Japan could receive up to six inches.

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A person holding an umbrella walks past a huge pile driftwood under a bridge.
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A person walks past driftwood caught under a bridge, washed down a river after heavy rains caused flooding, in the city of Wajima, Ishikawa Prefecture, on Saturday.Credit...Jiji Press/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

The authorities issued evacuation orders for over 100,000 people in Ishikawa and another prefecture nearby, Kumamoto, NHK reported.

One person died after a house was swept away by a landslide in Suzu City, NHK reported. Three people across Wajima City, Suzu City and the town of Noto were reported missing after being swept away by floodwaters, the broadcaster said, and four others who had been conducting earthquake restoration are missing.

In the nearby Kurobe City, in Toyama Prefecture, about 60 people were stranded while riding a tourist train after a mudslide flowed into the tunnel they were traveling through, NHK reported.

The Noto Peninsula was struck by a powerful 7.6 magnitude earthquake on New Year’s Day. At least 229 people were killed, according to NHK, making it the deadliest earthquake in a decade. Later, about 100 additional people died from causes related to the earthquake, the agency said.

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kmaherali
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Re: Weather Related

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6 Dead in Japan After Record Rainfall Causes Flooding

The downpour drenched the Noto Peninsula on Saturday, triggering landslides and washing away people and homes, Japan’s national broadcaster said.

Video: https://nyti.ms/3XxLrXj
Record levels of rain fell on Japan’s Noto Peninsula, turning buildings into piles of debris and neighborhoods into streams of floodwaters.CreditCredit...Yuichi Yamazaki/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Six people have died after a record amount of rain triggered flooding and landslides in a coastal region in Japan still recovering from a deadly earthquake earlier this year, according to local authorities.

The rain, which drenched Noto Peninsula in western Japan on Saturday, washed away people and homes, the national broadcaster NHK reported. In western and southern Japan, evacuations were ordered for more than 100,000 people, and the government issued some of the most severe emergency warnings for heavy rain. The warning was downgraded on Sunday, and some people have started returning home.

Five people were killed in Wajima City, and another in nearby Suzu City, local officials said.

ImageA beige house leans on its side as floodwaters rush by.
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A house leaning by a swollen river in Suzu City, Japan, on Sunday.Credit...Kasumi Fukudome/Kyodo News, via Associated Press

Both cities saw record-breaking rainfall on Saturday: About 10.7 inches of rain fell in Wajima City in six hours, nearly double the previous record of about 5.5 inches, which was set in 2007. In Suzu City, 7.5 inches of rain fell in six hours, compared with the previous record of 5.2 inches, set in 1989.

The death in Suzu City occurred after a house was engulfed by a landslide, NHK reported. In Wajima City, two people died after a landslide hit a tunnel where earthquake recovery work was underway, and 10 others were rescued. Two more people died in landslides, and one corpse was pulled from a river.

Another two people were missing after being swept away by rivers, NHK reported, and four others are unaccounted for after their homes were swept away.

The Noto Peninsula was struck by a powerful 7.6-magnitude earthquake on New Year’s Day. At least 229 people were killed, according to NHK, making it Japan’s deadliest earthquake in a decade. Later, about 100 additional people died from causes related to the earthquake, the agency said.

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swamidada
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Re: Weather Related

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46 people drown during Hindu festival in India: govt official
Reuters | AFP Published September 26, 2024 Updated about 14 hours ago

At least 46 people, including 37 children, have drowned while celebrating a Hindu festival in eastern India, a local government official told AFP on Thursday.

The victims drowned in separate incidents in Bihar state while ritually bathing in rivers and ponds swollen by recent flooding, an official from the Bihar Disaster Management Department told AFP.

“People ignored dangerous water levels in rivers as well as ponds while bathing to celebrate this festival,” said the official, who requested anonymity because he was not authorised to speak to the media.

The drownings occurred from Tuesday across 15 districts of Bihar state as devotees marked the Jitiya Parv Hindu festival, observed by mothers for the wellbeing of their children.

Authorities were still working to recover three other bodies, the official said. Jitiya Parv runs over several days and is also observed in neighbouring Uttar Pradesh and Jharkhand states, and in parts of Nepal’s southern plains.

The Bihar state government has announced compensation for each of the victims’ families, the government official said.

Last year local media reported 22 people drowned during a 24-hour period in Bihar, most while marking the same festival.

Deadly incidents are common at places of worship during major religious festivals in India, the biggest of which prompt millions of devotees to make pilgrimages to holy sites.

At least 116 people were crushed to death in July at an overcrowded Hindu religious gathering in Uttar Pradesh state, the worst such tragedy in more than a decade.

India is hit by torrential rains and flash floods each year during the June-September monsoon season.

The monsoon is vital for agriculture, and therefore for the livelihoods of millions of farmers.

But it is also responsible for widespread destruction each year in the form of landslides and floods that kill hundreds of people across South Asia.

More than 200 people were killed in the southern Indian state of Kerala in July when torrential monsoon downpours caused landslides that buried tea plantations under tonnes of rock and soil.

Experts say climate change is increasing the number of extreme weather events around the world, with damming, deforestation and development projects in India exacerbating the human toll.

A 2021 study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research tracking monsoon shifts from the mid-20th century suggested that it was becoming stronger and more erratic.

At least 4 dead as heavy rains paralyse Mumbai
Meanwhile, torrential rain lashed India’s financial capital Mumbai, triggering floods and killing at least four people as well as paralysing the city and forcing schools to close on Thursday.

Some parts of Mumbai recorded around 275 mm (11 inches) of rain on Wednesday evening, which crippled road traffic and delayed the trains millions of city residents use every day.

Four people died from rain-related incidents, officials said.

With more rain expected, authorities issued a citywide red alert, and urged residents to stay home. Schools and colleges were shut and fishermen were asked to stay away onshore until Friday.

Drone footage posted on social media showed snarled highways clogged with cars — some with their drivers still inside, others abandoned by frustrated drivers.

Hundreds of thousands of commuters spent hours on the road.

India’s monsoon rains started retreating from the northwest of the country earlier this week, nearly a week later than normal, the state-run India Meteorological Department (IMD) said in a statement.

The monsoon generally begins in June and starts to retreat by September 17 but the rains continued this year, which has helped to replenish reservoirs but damaged the crop harvest in some states.

Heavy rain was also forecast for some parts of the southern state of Telengana on Thursday, the weather office said.

Indian officials reported earlier this month that more than 60 people died across three states due to severe flooding caused by heavy rains over the past several days.

Rivers had burst their banks and more than 30,000 people fled their homes.

The state government had said that 13 people had died from drowning and the rest from houses or trees collapsing on them.

In August, emergency workers rescued nearly 1,000 people who were stranded in different parts of the Himalayas following torrential rainfall in northern India, which caused widespread damage and left at least 12 people dead.

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